psv88

1 hour ago, NJwx85 said:

I’m kind of hoping this one misses. The piles at the end of my driveway are already shoulder high and I’m running out of room. With temps this week bitterly cold not much will melt. Starting to worry about my roof collapsing.

What? Your roof should be able to hold at least 3-4 feet of snow. You’ll be fine 

1 minute ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Back bays are easy.  I want to see the sound freeze again.  That was very cool in 2015.  Posed out on the ice with my wife and it looked like we were standing on the Antarctic ice sheet.

Huntington Harbor will freeze easily. Same with Northport harbor. There’s a chance Northport bay freezes as well. I’ve never seen Huntington bay frozen and I’m not sure we get cold enough. 

Who won?

45 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

Don’t question it, you measured it correctly, you should only clear the board once a day, when the storm is over, or changes precip type. There are a lot of inflated totals out there. 

I think on the island totals are pretty accurate. When you compare what the public reports versus the official reports from Upton and Islip, its usually dead on accurate and consistent. Trained spotters usually line up with the official sites as well, so its usually ok out here. 

There is one report from Suffolk from Fort Salonga at 14.5" which seems a bit high, but its extreme north shore so it's possible

1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said:

if anyone has snow totals for the tri-state area let me know, include anything from today...thanks!

12.9" total, Commack, Suffolk County

Solid burst of snow in the area this morning for another 0.7”. 12.8” storm total. 30.8” for the season. 

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
 

Damn looks like NW Suffolk cleaned up again. There’s a 12.8” report from Commack which isn’t me. Hauppauge and local towns also over 12”.  People must think I make it up, but this area usually does really well in SWFES. 
 

Crazy bust by all models on the surface temps. Most had my area getting to around 30/32 at 11 pm. It’s currently 22!
 

10 degree short term model bust by all mesos. Doesn’t matter for shit, but still a lesson to be learned when it comes to surface temps in a SWFE, always over estimated 
 

3 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Moderate snow shower now.  Looks like a little sound enhancement too.  24⁰

Yep. Just checked and its 100% snow, temp really crashed back, 23.7. Down 3 degrees in the last 15 min. 

Temp crashing here now. Topped out at 26.8, down 2 degrees in 10 min to 24.4. 

As usual, lower level temps overestimated in these setups.

Farmingdale reporting light snow and 27, Westhampton 31 and light snow. I guess they call sleet snow?

26.7 and sleet i guess

Nice round of sleet added another 1/2” to the total, so I’m at exactly a foot between all the snow and sleet. 
 

Looks like that does it. 26.3 and sleet, 30” even on the season. It’s been real. 

4 minutes ago, lee59 said:

The further east you go on the Island, the higher the temperatures tonight. 

Yup, up to 25.7. 

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

In fairness the Pivotal snow maps aren’t supposed to count sleet as snow. RRFS might count sleet so if that’s true it was a win. 

You have to compare the 10:1 maps that count sleet as snow. Because sleet counts as snow in snow records.

2 minutes ago, NorthShoreWx said:

Today it did.

Did it really? Missed that

1 minute ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

NWS stuck to their guns with the 12” forecast. I’m not doubting them anymore lol 

They should have stuck with 10-14"...

Did the NAM have the entire island at a foot plus...i know i know, its not really a weather model. But it really did suck ass. 

Even the Euro will bust low. RGEM and HRRR for the win. I cant believe Islip will be over a foot. 

7 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=okx&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS

Wow. Islip 12.1! 

My area about the same now, sleet pouring down and temp stuck at 25

2 minutes ago, lee59 said:

My temperature was rising and got up to 24.2 but now it has dropped back down to 23.2 and still seems to be dropping

Up to 24.7, which for us is still cold for a winter event

Just now, WestBabylonWeather said:

How high are temps going to get 

Close to 30 around 11. We rise until 11 and then come down a bit. South shore probably gets to 33, barrier islands 34

Just now, jm1220 said:

Must be absolutely pounding sleet and maybe snow in Manhattan. I think Central Park makes it to 12”. 

I am so happy we are missing those heavy sleet bands. I dont want to have to clear that sand

2 inches of snow/sleet cleared from driveway and walk. Worse than snow. Brings me up to 11.1” storm total. 

Radar really breaking up over the metro area and Long Island. Will save us from that heavy sleet further south 

Just now, jm1220 said:

South fork is up to 29 now. They might go to plain rain tonight along with coastal NJ. 

HRRR has me getting to 32 at 11 pm...but it also has me at 23.5 at 6 pm and i am at 20.5. Will be interesting to see how warm we get. 

Still stuck at 20. I wonder if its better to do one more shovel now or let it sit so the freezing rain has something to sit on?