psv88

81. First 80s of the season.

2 hours ago, TWCCraig said:

Imo, The NAM isnt that good for temp guidance on the coast in the spring. Occasionally it can sniff out BDCF or sea breeze better than other models but most of the time it over-do's the marine influence.

The BDCF it showed yesterday on its 18z run backed off a lot. The difference between that run and current 6z run in insane. No other model switched up like that. Globals and other hi-res models have been consistent where the NAM hasn't. Models still have a SE wind for Wednesday evening which will cool the island off fast, but no where as cold as the NAM was advertising. Even the current 6z 12km NAM only has a high of 71 for Islip today which will likely be too low.

At least the 3km 6z NAM is much closer to reality and other models

3pm Wed 3km 6z NAM:

Islip is already at or above 70

56 overnight, 76 already 

73. Beautiful. If you don’t like this you are seriously mentally ill

38 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

64 here, wind S and cloudy. About to call this day a bust. 

Yup. This was evident earlier. Down to 62 now. No way we hit 77

66

Currently sitting at 56. Don’t see how we hit the forecast high of 77

21 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Add 1.5 degrees then to 1995.  Wouldn't change what he said.  We aren't talking about 1820.

That’s not quite how it works. Climate change reinforces these large heat bursts by well over 1.5 degrees. It’s not as if the earth uniformly just steps up 1.5 degrees. The heat burst out west last month was a feedback loop where heat was able to really build and build due to higher CO2. 
 

the same goes for actually cool summers. Those are much less likely now because of new atmosphere we have, even though global temperatures in aggregate have increase a few degrees. 

54 off a low of 34. Last day of suck before we warm up 

Popped a 63. Nice evening to grill on the patio 

62. The winds makes it feel colder

59 today. Much warmer to the north, south and west. Hopefully we can crack 70 next week 

4 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Not to mention none of that has verified this spring...strongly positive since late Feb

Bottom of the 9th, two outs, Mets down 10-1 to the Dodgers, Alvarez down 0-2 in the count, Tony with his rally cap on "Just need 9 more runs...it can happen"

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Cooler weather coming ? I hate the heat .

-NAO does not mean cold weather in warmer months. You know this...

27 here as well. Time to start that growing season for real. 

29 in the am, probably last 20's until November. 

3 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Why would you need the windows open at 36 lol, do you need the room to be 50 degrees?

Fat

34 and windy.

Just now, psv88 said:

You have Islip? I think it was a big storm out here 

Just looked. Islip got 16”. My parents told me it was a major blizzard for that time. Looks like they were right 

You have Islip? I think it was a big storm out here 

0.26” but the yard is soggy

I remember that event well. Was a heavy wet snow 

71 earlier in Commack, down to 62 now. 
 

in Morristown now and still low 70s

68 here

2 hours ago, [email protected] said:

So, Wednesday might be the latest in the season that Central Park has dropped into the 20s in nearly three decades! What wild temperature swings, so far, this spring!

Not happening