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CoalCityWxMan

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Everything posted by CoalCityWxMan

  1. CoalCityWxMan
    00z runs will be interesting.
  2. CoalCityWxMan
    That’d be a nice event for much of the area, sharp cutoff along I-55
  3. CoalCityWxMan
    Closer look for N IL folks
  4. CoalCityWxMan
    Most 12z runs thus far have bumped SE/are weaker.
  5. CoalCityWxMan
    For comparison, today’s 12z EURO run vs 00z
  6. CoalCityWxMan
    Will be interesting to watch this over the next few days, gonna be nerve-wracking for some on the edge of the heavy totals.
  7. CoalCityWxMan
    Also, Sunday is a huge travel day with lots of people traveling back to college/home
  8. CoalCityWxMan
    The last 3 runs of the GEM have varied just a bit..
  9. CoalCityWxMan
    Gut tells me it’ll shift a *little* SE and slightly weaker than currently projected just based off trends/how these sort of events seem to usually evolve. Probably won’t see much here but wouldn’t be surprised if areas on the border right now (Dekalb-Mendota areas NW) see a good amount from this, especially if that feature Hoosier talked about continues to be more prominent.
  10. CoalCityWxMan
    Wow. Major snowstorm for Rockford/DVN and NW
  11. CoalCityWxMan
    Although it’s still far out, seems to be increasing confidence in a storm system affecting the Midwest/Ohio Valley 5-6 days out. GFS is most aggressive for now but something to watch. GFS/GEM currently has a 6-12” swath of snow through central Iowa up through southwestern Wisconsin, while the Euro is further SE with a narrower band of similar amounts.
  12. CoalCityWxMan
    Oh the things I’d do to have this happen
  13. CoalCityWxMan
    Been a nasty cold drizzle here all day despite a few flakes mixed in here and there. Hoping to get an inch or two of snow tonight though, we’ll see
  14. CoalCityWxMan
    Some models (GFS, GEM, HRRR) are showing 2-3” along/south of the I-80 corridor tonight
  15. CoalCityWxMan
    I’ll never forget that day, you woke up that morning and went outside and knew something was not right. I’m not 100% sure on this, but I think I remember reading somewhere that the PDS tor watch that was issued for most of IL and some surrounding areas was the first ever issued PDS in the 6AM-9Am time frame or something like that. Again not sure exactly If that’s what it was but I remember reading something like that a couple years back.
  16. CoalCityWxMan
    It has also been consistently shifting a little south with each run. Last night it kept everything in southern MN/WI
  17. CoalCityWxMan
    Sure did. I was very skeptical until the HRRR continuously was showing it last night. Probably overperformed even with some localized areas seeing 3”+ under the band
  18. CoalCityWxMan
    Yeah it turned to sleep for awhile but snow beginning to take back over as it begins to pivot back east. Might be able to pick up another inch
  19. CoalCityWxMan
    Yeah the public was unaware too, forecast called for a 40% chance of rain/snow
  20. CoalCityWxMan
    Ripping in dekalb.
  21. CoalCityWxMan
    I don’t recall this wintry of a November in quite some time. I remember as a kid the general “rule” for November was usually seeing a day in mid/late November where a surprise dusting falls, so having repeated cold/snow chances is quite impressive. Can’t complain about the start to winter here
  22. CoalCityWxMan
    The hrrr (and some other models) have been hinting at a narrow, pivoting band of snow lingering in north central/central IL tomorrow afternoon as the system weakens and pulls away. If it ends up happening could give some areas a nice surprise, wouldn’t be surprised if it did due to several models showing a feature like this. Would be a consolation prizes for what folks downstate are experiencing
  23. CoalCityWxMan
    With each run of the HRRR it has been tacking on about .1-.2” of snow with each run for areas NW of I-55. Now up to 2.5+” in the Dekalb area. Tiny differences but nevertheless, can’t wait for it to look like winter 12 hours from now.
  24. CoalCityWxMan
    Things looking up for sure. Don’t remember seeing this wintry of a look in early November in a very long time
  25. CoalCityWxMan
    Both the GFS and GEM agree on a clipper type system coming through the region Friday-Saturday, certainly not the big storm modeled a few days ago but could bring some snow if it happens nevertheless.
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