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CoalCityWxMan

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Everything posted by CoalCityWxMan

  1. There is a way to adjust the SREF snowfall ratios if you want to have a little fun..
  2. With last weekends system in the long range (so about now) the short-term models were also looking awful. Way underdone on amounts just about everywhere, but that eventually began to slowly improve with every run. Not saying it’ll happen again, but just an observation
  3. Wonder where the fgen band will set up. Wherever it does, those folks will be lucky
  4. Remember the other day when we all hated the NAM and wanted to lock in the GFS?
  5. Could see areas that get under the fgen band seeing 6”+, especially if stronger trends can continue. Any early guesses on where it’ll set up?
  6. The NAM isn’t bad. Warning criteria snow in N IL, IA. Huge changes from 00z atleast
  7. Honestly if I was considering leaving, I think 5+ days of not getting above 0 would be the last straw
  8. Yeah the last few runs have showed this storm taking it’s sweet time getting out of the region. Shows 2 1/2 days of snow for Chicago, which would be ridiculous. Also, would be epic if we had 2 big dogs within a few days of eachother. The potential here is insane
  9. Great AFD from LOT this afternoon. Worth the read, highlights the potential this storm has
  10. At first glance looks like GFS is a bump north/stronger.
  11. Not only that, also has Chicago constantly below zero for 5 1/2 days straight
  12. Agreed. If anything I think we can agree to not freak out over the op GFS at this range, especially considering how poorly it did last weekend. Had literally 1” at PNT when they ended up getting 9” less than 48 hours from the event
  13. Hell, I’d be happy with 8”. But of course fingers crossed the stronger phase ends up happening. Certainly getting closer to something like that then we were.
  14. If we get a slightly better phase on that we could be talking more widespread 2’ totals further NW. Oh boy
  15. It’ll be interesting to see how high the amounts will be modeled inside that band once we get in range of hi-res models
  16. the CMC shows a very similar solution, slightly stronger/north
  17. It’s been showing that for a couple days now. Yesterday what it showed would be approaching all time record wind chills in some states.
  18. Really impressive rates under the 30+ dbz bands. Flake size dramatically improves under those bands
  19. Snowing pretty heavily at the moment, there’s been some decent banding between here and Pontiac this morning. Hard to believe it’s going to snow for another 12+ hours
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