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NJwx85

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Everything posted by NJwx85

  1. NJwx85
    He’s all about clicks these days.
  2. NJwx85
    It’s a lot more amped than the GFS which is typical at this range. It closes off the ULL in a good spot. But it’s probably wrong.
  3. NJwx85
    Boxing Day was a different time. Over 14 years ago. The models were far less skilled then. This is common for wound up coastals. Give it till Monday night.
  4. NJwx85
    Shame….shame….shame
  5. NJwx85
    Snowing lightly finally here in Rockland.
  6. NJwx85
    Nothing here in Rockland County. Looks like the cutoff line right now is near Yonkers.
  7. NJwx85
    I don’t favor the NAM, exactly the opposite. The HRRR is completely out of range.
  8. NJwx85
    It’s snowing now in DC at the White House.
  9. NJwx85
    The 18z NAM 12k is weaker with the precip than 12z. Double digit snows in VA cut back to 6-8”. Philly went from 6 to 4.
  10. NJwx85
    3k NAM ticked North from 12z. Snow into Orange County vs Bergen County at 03z.
  11. NJwx85
    Why are people looking at the HRRR at this range? It’s useful once it actually starts snowing to pick out banding features. I wouldn’t worry about it unless the NAM caves this next run.
  12. NJwx85
    The dividing line is 195.
  13. NJwx85
    Can’t wait for the, “sun angle” conversations in about 3 weeks. It’s coming folks. Better cash in this week.
  14. NJwx85
    The RGEM isn’t a great model. Like the NAM it tends to make wild jumps inside of 48hrs. They are useful but only if you know how to use them.
  15. NJwx85
    Warning level is 7” and it’s based on probability which for those areas is low.
  16. NJwx85
    Winter storm warning here 5-7”
  17. NJwx85
    Really nothing has changed since yesterday except that totals have gone up pretty much everywhere except the far East end.
  18. NJwx85
    I didn’t say a shift couldn’t happen, but that would screw some inland areas.
  19. NJwx85
    That's what you get for living in the middle of the ocean.
  20. NJwx85
    You've been on here long enough to know that not everyone can win in a setup like this.
  21. NJwx85
    GFS has been very steady. I think it has the best handle of all the guidance.
  22. NJwx85
    18Z RGEM LOL
  23. NJwx85
    Why are you using the EPS mean to make a snowfall forecast?
  24. NJwx85
    That's more like it, NAM caves.
  25. NJwx85
    15z SREF looks warm for the coast.
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