Why are people looking at a global model instead of radar and mesos? If the HRRR suddenly jumped 50 miles East for tonight that would get my attention. The rest is just noise.
There’s too much public access to models these days. Back when I first started with this hobby it was all behind paywalls. I use to pay for Stormvista so I could do PBP on here. Now Tidbits and PW are just as fast.
The radar looks good. Bands of snow back to Central PA. I still think there will be widespread totals of 18-24” and someone will crack 30”. NWS agrees.
I’m not worried about models pulling back. It literally happens every storm. This is a long duration event with explosive dynamics. There will be many surprise's.