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hlcater

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Everything posted by hlcater

  1. hlcater
    Cell near Forest City(SE lewistown) getting ready to undergo a cell merger with a weak, developing updraft. Interested to see how this turns out, but similar interactions have strengthened circulations in the past.
  2. hlcater
    Storm near Morristown wrapping up.
  3. hlcater
    Worst part is, I would have chased it and my forecast was nearly perfect. So I would've seen these tornadoes. Alas I had other obligations so there was no chasing today even though I would've liked to.
  4. hlcater
    What it looks like now
  5. hlcater
    Blurry pic of new
  6. hlcater
    That probably wouldn't happen. Would feel as if the lowered temperatures from the melting snow cover would make the immediate ground layer stable. Especially with complete snow cover moreso than just patches.
  7. hlcater
    Both cells have CC drops. I'll note the one to the north was stronger than in my image, it had since weakened.
  8. hlcater
    I'm by far most interested in the southernmost cell by Litchfield. Unimpeded inflow and the VWP is no worse down there.
  9. hlcater
    From Chris Bray
  10. hlcater
    From Devin Pitts. he called it violent in his own words
  11. hlcater
    Another picture of the tornado near Griggsville.
  12. hlcater
    I think it got unstuck. I have FH72 now.
  13. hlcater
    We got a dusting in Iowa City as well. Off topic, but the drive down here from CR, the cutoff from North Liberty to Coralville was insane. 4-5" in Coralville and bare ground in North Liberty. Haven't seen anything like it around here. We have about 7" on the U of I campus.
  14. hlcater
    No doubt that converts to snow with insane rates very shortly, but for the time being it looks like there's still a lot of sleet/mixed precip(especially SW of the metro).
  15. hlcater
    Muscatine AWOS just recorded a 61mph gust. Just recorded a second 67mph gust.
  16. hlcater
    Relative just north of Chariton, IA just told me she got 15.5" of snow. It is no longer snowing there. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 20" report near Ottumwa. There are other reports from around there ranging from 12-14.
  17. hlcater
    Just took an average of 5 measurements across my yard and came up with an average of 0.0" since midnight. Iowa City has had reports of 6-8". Not sure I've seen a cutoff that sharp before. Even North Liberty(8 miles N of Iowa City) only reporting a trace.
  18. hlcater
    That cut off is painful, but alas it was to be expected. Absolutely ripping snow 20 miles south of me. Not really expecting much more than flurries here, if that.
  19. hlcater
    It also showed like 0.50” of FZR for many areas. Not really sure what was up with that. Setup doesn’t really support it. Surface temps should cool slower than those aloft in this storm. I don’t see much of a window for any mixed precip really, maybe some sleet early on in heavier bands due to temps being slightly warmer(and above freezing) around 700mb but below freezing at 850mb but mostly just clean R/S.
  20. hlcater
    That is one thing that struck me odd about the storm as a whole, the precip shield(especially the snow) was very close to the surface low. Every model was similar in that regard however. This storm was like that from the beginning though so never really expected that to change. Although the northward expansion of the precip shield as a whole is nice to see. It doesn’t take a whole lot of change out here with the cutoff the way it is.
  21. hlcater
    I might just be trash, but it sure looks like things have come north about a county(20 Miles) in Iowa. It’s not a lot, but enough to put CR back in contention.
  22. hlcater
    Come to me my precious
  23. hlcater
    And is also unrealistically juiced. 25.3” for Iowa City with 3”/hr rates. Sorry NAM, not happening. I foresee 12-15” in the heaviest axis of snow, but not nearly 25.
  24. hlcater
    Really dude? I’m wanting this to come north as much as you, but the TWC future radar is lolworthy. Don’t use it. I dont expect t to come north but I’d be ecstatic if it did. Looks to slide just south of me, and that hasn’t really changed.
  25. hlcater
    Some of the higher res guidance(and the GFS) have nudged north about half a county. Not enough for me, but maybe for Hawkeye? Could just be noise too. After all, it is very minute.
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