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hlcater

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Everything posted by hlcater

  1. Fairly compact clipper/vort max Monday has my attention. These seem to almost always overperform for somebody.
  2. The frequency of exceptionally adverse reactions such as that 104 fever is even more rare than that. Reading through the actual data, there are occurrences, but they didn’t even happen in a high enough proportion to have a documented frequency. The 95/5 doesn’t refer to the side effects, rather how likely somebody is to catch symptomatic covid after the vaccine. The risks are overwhelmingly worth the rewards.
  3. Yea you better antivax. It’s unsafe! I should also say using anecdotes of an exceptionally rare outcome to justify your decision is unwise. I had a poor reaction and still think people need to get it.
  4. Aches, pains and a high grade fever(104). that said, a fever that high is rare and was reported to VAERS.
  5. the 2nd dose blows. That's all im gonna say.
  6. It’s pretty boring here. Y’all aren’t missing much. The lightest pixie dust I’ve ever seen. Like 0.1”/hr stuff.
  7. It was continuously cold too. There were periods where we had a 24” depth which is basically impossible with this climo.
  8. Some backyard winter scenes. Hopefully the 12z euro is right and we can add to it.
  9. Thinking the SSW will muddy predictions for MLK/Val/Presidents' day, but effects should wane by early march. My in-development BS rule has had a good handle on this winter thus far and the waning effects of the SSW should allow a return to the expected progression by the time March rolls in. This is pretty iffy so far, but I drew a rough surface map of what we could expect for the St. Patrick's day period if my model is correct.
  10. The BSR and LRC are meteorology’s equivalent to voodoo dolls and dark magic
  11. Final total of 9.2" taken from average of snow boards around the yard. Well forecast and very respectable event. Quite a bit of FZDZ out there currently and it's quite nasty. Should end up with solid glaze by morning. Temp 30. Honestly the first event I can remember where I'm left thinking ... Damn did the canadian do a good job.
  12. I didn't say it was. I said that people had also used those years as examples of how high lat blocking can linger, and that Ricky was not the only one thinking that.
  13. idk hoss, the 12z HRRR looks pretty spot on to me.
  14. It's a good 30-50 miles behind the NAM, which had it approaching Polk County by 20z.
  15. And that is fine with me given the thermos it was going to have. Miss. Me. With. That.
  16. you're not the only one that's mentioned the tendency for anomalous high lat blocking to sit around for many weeks/months. I've seen that elsewhere too. Those same people also think the current pattern evolution resembles that of 09-10 and 10-11 closely. One can only hope as the thing that the current pattern needs most is a little more cold air to work with.
  17. Had some light freezing rain earlier that has since switched to snow. Pretty picturesque out there. Hoping for an inch.
  18. I wouldn’t be so quick to toss a map like that. Especially over areas that see snow on Tuesday. Lot of WAA aloft here... could spell trouble for someone.
  19. Another potential big system, another surface low tracking through Iowa. The Dakotas have been on an absolute tear the past several years.
  20. Dakotas special if that lead system doesn’t show up and suppress.
  21. Some whisperings of an SSW over Siberia to open the new year??
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