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ma blizzard

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Everything posted by ma blizzard

  1. Agreed! Perhaps what we are seeing in more recent modeling is exactly this.
  2. 12z NAM might be the slowest with the front yet
  3. same here .. running about 3.5 F ahead of yesterday
  4. Slight tendency to slow down BDCF arrival on Friday? Would be nice to slow it down a couple more hours to have a chance to break this heat with some storms.
  5. so how's the GFS looking for Fri / Sat? Asking for a friend
  6. 88/77, gotta love those backyard dews
  7. Against the warmest 30 yr avg too ..
  8. tough month for them .. already +4 MTD at ORH with the torch yet to come. Decent chance this goes down as the warmest June ever there
  9. looks like there could be another round overnight 3z - 8z ish?
  10. looks like clearing working its way to ORH .. not ideal but should be enough
  11. Higher end potential verbatim .. keeps low lvl flow more out of the west
  12. I’d like to see more run to run continuity from the EURO before going big Also, have we ever had 600+ dm heights at 500 over New England historically? Maybe 1911 was close?
  13. GFS is very impressive this run too .. long duration heat
  14. high end heat potential day 9/10 on the 0z EURO would like to see this within D7 on modeling to feel more confident
  15. Absolutely - The current pattern has been difficult to shake .. just when it looked like it was turning, we had another ill timed -NAO / +PNA episode. I'll say though if we get the typical strong Niño to strong La Niña transition summer pattern, good chance July / AUG roast and we make a run for the hottest summer of all time.
  16. Looks like the hottest since June 2021 at least, KBOS:
  17. textbook on the EURO .. will be interesting to see how this evolves over time.
  18. toasty OP GFS run in the extended
  19. Warmer look on the EURO next Mon-Wed compared to the GFS
  20. Anecdotally it seems there has been an unusual amount of variability even in the D5-D7 range lately
  21. 18z run most amped yet with a widespread 1"-2" .. it will be interesting to see if we once again over-achieve
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