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495weatherguy

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Everything posted by 495weatherguy

  1. 495weatherguy
    Is Forky still in on 20-30 for NYC metro? or has he altered his thinking?
  2. 495weatherguy
    Looks increasingly likely that this storm is going to deliver amounts on LI that seemed impossible the last few years. Will this storm be the end of this winter? Or is this just an extension of winter. either way, try to enjoy the storm, as much as one can in situations like this
  3. 495weatherguy
    I tend to agree. My objective however will be to try and keep the driveway clear
  4. 495weatherguy
    Thank you! really trying to figure out if it’s worth staying up all night or not. Even though my days of loving snow are in the past, this seems like a potentially special, once in a generation type storm. worth losing a little sleep over it
  5. 495weatherguy
    Can we get estimates on timing? For example, starting time. The time it starts to crank Duration blizzard conditions timing End time? not looking for exact times Just best guesses
  6. 495weatherguy
    Thank you
  7. 495weatherguy
    Now that the expectations have done a 180 in 24 hours(no snow to a near blizzard)what can go wrong? What are the odds we go back to out to sea? odds of a crippling blizzard? 2 feet plus? odds of a 8-12” storm? odds of a 2-4” storm? Im on LI and wouldn’t mind any of the above solutions
  8. 495weatherguy
    I pray that you are wrong But I Suspect you are right
  9. 495weatherguy
    Eyeball somewhere around 3 inches, in Melville LI Intensity has varied for last 90 mins
  10. 495weatherguy
    Moderate snow began about 5:20 am in Melville LI. Road already covered by 5:50 am Glad this is occurring on a Sunday
  11. 495weatherguy
    Snow began about 5:20 am in Melville LI Hoping for a moderate impact. Zero interest in having a layer of ice upon 6 plus inches of snow Thank goodness it’s a Sunday
  12. 495weatherguy
    Absolutely anecdotal. I’ve seen this movie plenty of times. The warm nose or tongue is disregrded 4/5 days out because “the airmass is so cold” only for it to show up inside of 48 hours and dramatically alter the expected outcome. A lot of things have to occur in order for LI to have an all snow event. For context, I’m in Melville LI
  13. 495weatherguy
    LI is always on a razors edge. The warm nose never fails-it has hindered many a storm. Very rarely do we have storms on LI that do not get the warm nose
  14. 495weatherguy
    I believe I received closer to 4 inches in Melville, but I didn’t measure. Going by eyeball, I think your measurement is close to what I received from the entire event
  15. 495weatherguy
    I received at least 3 inches. Melville.
  16. 495weatherguy
    That’s a great story. Makes you appreciate everything you have now
  17. 495weatherguy
    So that breaks down to less than 100 gallons per month annually. There are many ways to break it down, it seems that during the peak winter months you are burning 150 gallons per month, which is about 5 gallons per day. Without knowing the particulars of your house, this seems reasonable for heating a house on Li
  18. 495weatherguy
    That’s not outrageous. How many square feet is the house? 200 or so gallons per month. Seems to be low for those temps if anything
  19. 495weatherguy
    Warm noses always seem to over perform. Or come out of nowhere
  20. 495weatherguy
    Thank you for the explanation. Never surprised by the sleet mixing in
  21. 495weatherguy
    Are you concerned for the inevitable “warm nose” that always seems to catch meteorologists off guard?
  22. 495weatherguy
    Don’t remember the torch. Remember the cold though. It was brutal
  23. 495weatherguy
    This-I was out driving between 2-3 am in Melville and Farmingdale LI-there was only about an inch OTG and snow was light. Now up to at least 6” in Melville. It has been snowing heavily for the last 2 hours
  24. 495weatherguy
    I agree with this. You remember the 70’s and 80’s on LI? I remember cod and dry. Not snow like we got 2000-2018. 1996 was special because it truly was a one off on LI. Snow was always going “north and west “. Countless times predicted snow became cold rain. Many different components need to come together in order for it to snow on LI
  25. 495weatherguy
    Don’t worry, you get used to it. more about the seasons vs specific days ie warm spring vs dry and warm winter
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