janetjanet998

This look rather interesting...latest SPC outlook sums it up .THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST... ..SUMMARY NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE PRIMARY HAZARD ARE EXPECTED DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER MIDWEST. ..UPPER MIDWEST AN ACTIVE SEVERE WEATHER PERIOD MAY UNFOLD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, WITH POTENTIAL FOR A DERECHO AND/OR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE. FURTHER UPGRADES IN PROBABILITIES/RISK ARE POSSIBLE IN LATER OUTLOOKS. LARGE-SCALE MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A SIGNIFICANT PIECE OF THE NORTHERN ROCKIES TROUGH EJECTS TOWARDS THE RED RIVER VALLEY. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN A SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL JET INTO SOUTHEAST MN AND SOUTHERN WI WITH AMPLE BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE CHARACTERIZED BY LOWER 70S SURFACE DEW POINTS. ROBUST SURFACE HEATING IS ANTICIPATED IN THE WAKE OF MORNING ELEVATED CONVECTION OVER EASTERN IA/WI TO A SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THAT BISECTS MN TO A SURFACE CYCLONE OVER SOUTHEAST SD. THE PRESENCE OF A STOUT ELEVATED MIXED LAYER WILL YIELD A STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS BY PEAK HEATING WITH MLCAPE OF 2500-3500 J/KG ACROSS IA, SOUTHERN MN AND MOST OF WI. CONVERGENCE NEAR THE SURFACE CYCLONE IN CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASING MID-LEVEL ASCENT THROUGH A MINOR PERTURBATION APPROACHING FROM THE NE PANHANDLE AND LARGER-SCALE HEIGHT FALLS SHOULD RESULT IN DEEPENING CONVECTION BY 20-21Z ACROSS THE SIOUXLAND REGION. GIVEN VERY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG SPEED SHEAR THROUGH THE CLOUD-BEARING LAYER, INITIAL SUPERCELLS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, WITH WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH WITHIN THE INITIATING CORRIDOR AND DEEP-LAYER FLOW MORE PARALLEL THAN ORTHOGONAL TO THE FRONT, UPSCALE GROWTH MAY RAPIDLY OCCUR AND IS CONSISTENTLY DEPICTED ACROSS CAMS. A FORWARD-PROPAGATING, BOWING MCS MAY EVOLVE ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHERN MN AND INTO NORTHERN/CENTRAL WI AND UPPER MI BEFORE EVENTUALLY WEAKENING OVER PARTS OF LAKES SUPERIOR/MICHIGAN. GUIDANCE IS CONSISTENT IN DEPICTING STRENGTHENING 700-MB SOUTHWESTERLIES IN THE WARM SECTOR COINCIDENT WITH THE EVOLVING MCS. THE NAM IS THE STRONGEST OF GUIDANCE WITH CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK OF THE MCS SUGGESTING 700-MB WINDS WOULD APPROACH 80 KT BY LATE EVENING NEAR THE WI/MI BORDER. THE LARGE BUOYANCY, STEEPNESS OF MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES, AMPLIFYING FLOW REGIME, AND CONSISTENT CAM SIGNAL ALL SUGGEST THAT A DERECHO IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS COULD BECOME WIDESPREAD WITH SCATTERED SEVERE GUSTS. HAVE UPGRADED TO ENH RISK FOR THIS POSSIBILITY AND A FURTHER UPGRADE MAY BE NECESSARY IN LATER OUTLOOKS IF THIS SCENARIO APPEARS LIKELY. THE LINEAR/CLUSTER MODE SHOULD MITIGATE A GREATER TORNADO AND HAIL RISK. BUT GIVEN THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY, BRIEF TORNADOES FROM EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS OR MESOVORTICIES WITHIN THE LINE ARE POSSIBLE.

surprise many mini low topped hooking SUPS ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS, CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES, ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF ALABAMA, THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE, AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA INTO THIS EVENING. ..DISCUSSION RECENT SINGLE-RADAR AND MRMS DATA HAVE DISPLAYED AN ORGANIZATIONAL UPTICK IN SHALLOW SUPERCELLULAR ACTIVITY ACROSS THE REGION. IN FACT, A TORNADIC DEBRIS SIGNATURE WAS RECENTLY OBSERVED WITH A CELL OVER CRENSHAW CO, AL, SUGGESTING SOME INCREASE IN TORNADO POTENTIAL IS BEING REALIZED THIS AFTERNOON. KEVX DATA DISPLAY A WIND PROFILE FAVORABLE FOR THE SUSTENANCE OF LOW-LEVEL MESOCYCLONES, AND BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE IS CERTAINLY ADEQUATE FOR TORNADOGENESIS WITH THESE ISOLATED CELLS, AS WELL AS NEW DEVELOPMENT MOVING ONSHORE FROM THE NORTHERN GULF. THEREFORE, A SLIGHT RISK HAS BEEN INTRODUCED FROM SOUTHEAST ALABAMA TO SOUTHWEST GEORGIA AND THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

it may be off its peak right now but still...... C031-081-070100- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/ DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA- 754 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES... AT 754 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER COUSHATTA, OR 21 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW! HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR CONFIRMED TORNADO.

EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA 739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 LAC031-081-070100- /O.CON.KSHV.TO.W.0044.000000T0000Z-180407T0100Z/ DE SOTO LA-RED RIVER LA- 739 PM CDT FRI APR 6 2018 ..TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR THE CITY OF COUSHATTA ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FOR EAST CENTRAL DE SOTO AND CENTRAL RED RIVER PARISHES... AT 738 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR COUSHATTA, OR 16 MILES EAST OF MANSFIELD, MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH. TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR COUSHATTA. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 701 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017 MOC009-109-145-050045- /O.CON.KSGF.TO.W.0024.000000T0000Z-170405T0045Z/ NEWTON MO-BARRY MO-LAWRENCE MO- 701 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 PM CDT FOR EASTERN NEWTON...NORTHWESTERN BARRY AND SOUTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES... AT 701 PM CDT, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEOSHO, MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TOR

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 701 PM CDT TUE APR 4 2017 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0655 PM TORNADO GOODMAN 36.74N 94.40W 04/04/2017 MCDONALD MO EMERGENCY MNGR BUILDINGS DAMAGED.

And now has weakened

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 847 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 .TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON .DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE. ..REMARKS.. 0843 PM TORNADO GRAND PRAIRIE 32.75N 96.98W 01/15/2017 DALLAS TX TRAINED SPOTTER CONFIRMED TORNADO STATE HIGHWAY 161 AND ARKANSAS

Confirmed now

Still nothing confirmed but new warning Dallas county

Really nice hook now. The line just west of it will overtake soon but until then dangerous situation

ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 804 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 830 PM CST * AT 802 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST NORTH OF HIGHWAY 67 BETWEEN ALVARADO AND VENUS. CASA RADAR INDICATES THAT THIS CIRCULATION WILL APPROACH PLEASANT POINT AND LILLIAN OVER THE NEXT FEW MINUTES. HAZARD...TORNADO.

an update still says radar indicated SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 756 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 TXC251-160215- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0006.000000T0000Z-170116T0215Z/ JOHNSON TX- 756 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY... AT 754 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTHEAST OF ALVARADO. CASA RADAR SHOWS THE CIRCULATION APPROACHING FM-1807 JUST EAST OF ALVARADO. IT WILL APPROACH HIGHWAY 67 BETWEEN ALVARADO AND VENUS OVER THE NEXT FEW MINUTES.

TOR warned again also a TOR warned cell in kerr county

WFUS54 KFWD 160053 TORFWD TXC217-251-160130- /O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0005.170116T0053Z-170116T0130Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 653 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL JOHNSON COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... NORTHWESTERN HILL COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 730 PM CST * AT 652 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR WHITNEY, OR 14 MILES WEST OF HILLSBORO, MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

still on ground moving at a decent clip will start to affect southern metroplex here soon EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 645 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 TXC035-217-160100- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170116T0100Z/ BOSQUE TX-HILL TX- 645 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN BOSQUE AND WEST CENTRAL HILL COUNTIES... AT 645 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE WHITNEY STATE PARK, OR 16 MILES WEST OF HILLSBORO, MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

TOG EVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 634 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 TXC035-217-160100- /O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0004.000000T0000Z-170116T0100Z/ BOSQUE TX-HILL TX- 634 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 ...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CST FOR NORTHEASTERN BOSQUE AND SOUTHWESTERN HILL COUNTIES... AT 634 PM CST, A CONFIRMED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE WHITNEY STATE PARK, OR 11 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLIFTON, MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH. HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. SOURCE...LAW ENFORCEMENT CONFIRMED TORNADO.

I think is a second TOR warned storm....like Indy said radar doesn't have polygons edit: looks like the same storm edit2: not sure ULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 610 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... CENTRAL BOSQUE COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 645 PM CST * AT 609 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CLIFTON, MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO.

RGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 8 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 600 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT FROM 600 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE GENERALLY NEAR THE I-35 CORRIDOR OF CENTRAL/NORTH-CENTRAL TEXAS THIS EVENING AHEAD OF AN EAST/NORTHEASTWARD-MOVING SQUALL LINE ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL TEXAS. SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT THE POSSIBILITY OF A COUPLE OF TORNADOES ASIDE FROM DAMAGING WINDS.

O.NEW.KFWD.TO.W.0001.170115T2327Z-170116T0000Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX 527 PM CST SUN JAN 15 2017 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEASTERN CORYELL COUNTY IN CENTRAL TEXAS... * UNTIL 600 PM CST * AT 526 PM CST, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR FORT GATES, OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF GATESVILLE, MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH. HAZARD...TORNADO. SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE VALID 152320Z - 160115Z PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...60 PERCENT SUMMARY...SEVERE THREAT IS GRADUALLY INCREASING ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS. LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL, AND PERHAPS A TORNADO OR TWO ARE THE PRIMARY THREATS. WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED TO ADDRESS THIS POTENTIAL. DISCUSSION...OVER THE LAST HOUR OR SO CONVECTION HAS GRADUALLY INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY ALONG THE I-35 CORRIDOR FROM CENTRAL TX, NORTHWARD TO NEAR THE RED RIVER. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY IS CELLULAR IN NATURE WITH SEVERAL DEEPER UPDRAFTS HAVING THE CHARACTERISTICS OF SUPERCELLS. ONE STORM HAS A LONGER HISTORY OF ROTATION AS IT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS WILLIAMSON/BELL/CORYELL COUNTIES. WEAK SUPERCELLS ARE NOW EVOLVING NORTHWEST OF WACO OVER HAMILTON/BOSQUE COUNTIES. SURFACE-BASED BUOYANCY IS STILL QUITE WEAK ACROSS THIS REGION BUT DEW POINTS ARE GRADUALLY INCREASING AND NEAR-SFC BASED CONVECTION COULD YIELD A SMALL BUT INCREASING THREAT FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. EVEN SO, THE PRIMARY RISK SHOULD BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL. THIS REGION IS BEING CONSIDERED FOR A WATCH.

storms near WACO (where dews are 64-65) getting that look almost like 2 warmfronts one moving north and another creeping west storm NW of Del Rio nice hook

oh yeah LOL....what was i thinking....

low-mid 60's dew points on the SE side of the metroplex at 22z I suspect the game might have a few lightning delays after the half

San Angelo radar seems to be up at 20:46z