why? we had an 85mph storm that changed lives forever. no analogy is 100% accurate, but it's a valid comparison for those who think this is a completely diminished threat. i think there is too much black and white here, when these things are always gray. no, it will not be a cat 4 (or 3) at landfall. it also won't be a non-event. those who do lose life or property won't care much that this storm didn't meet its destructive potential.