If the IOD is forecast to be in a positive phase this winter couple with an El Nino, which typically translates to an MJO phase between 8-1, why are so many winter forecast's warm. Curious??
No Winter thread yet but I'll just place this right here......very interesting.
https://www.severe-weather.eu/long-range-2/winter-2023-2024-forecast-polar-vortex-el-nino-qbo-strong-impact-cold-weather-united-states-canada-europe-fa/
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
12:30 PM Update...
Am working on final grid edits and headline coordination
regarding the snow arriving late tonight into Friday morning.
Will be hoisting additional advisories for the rest of NW PA and
the northernmost 1-2 tiers of counties in OH over the next 1-2
hours. More detailed discussion will come later this afternoon.
Got lots of laughs when posted but now it's not so funny. When you've seen this happen so many times over the Winter, it doesn't take a MET degree to catch on.