Jump to content

Frog Town

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,027

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Frog Town

  1. Frog Town
    Concerned that convection over Tennessee is robbing moisture transport into the back end of the storm...
  2. Frog Town
    Wow! With 8" already you guys have a legit chance at hitting 20"
  3. Frog Town
    Just measured 4" here in Toledo. I think everyone in Ohio, outside of the snowbelt, had their guard up after years of dry slot, virga, wtod, etc., and then to wake up to this! We are all in shock, lol.
  4. Frog Town
    Phasing looks to be happening quicker leading to a slower coastal transfer. Hi -Res should be the first to see this.
  5. Frog Town
    I suspect at least Monroe and Lenawee will be added once all the hi-res 12Z data is in.
  6. Frog Town
    Nice trends overnight! This is all because MI was removed from the thread. Mother Nature's humor..
  7. Frog Town
    Why did we remove MI from the thread name? Watch this thing nail MI just to spite it, lol.
  8. Frog Town
    Assuming this is why the Winter Storm Watches extended NW a bit into Toledo. Imagine some will be added to SE michigan..
  9. Frog Town
    Difference between what we have beginning to unfold and what occurred in 2013-2014 is the amount of snow we had on the ground. 2013-14 started in early January with 15" otg. Also occurring 3 weeks later, which would argue for better results with climo.
  10. Frog Town
    Everything was just upped here from 1" to 2-3". Phasing earlier??
  11. Frog Town
    Great Met out of Toledo who would of satisfied the kid in all if we had social media back in the 80's and 90's, when I was a kid. Anyways, he does an awesome of job of getting into the science and behind the scenes stuff that most don't bother with. Great guy as well. He delves into the possibilities over the next few weeks. https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1B3hupyCAs/
  12. Frog Town
    This! Whether is comes to fruition is another question but this is where we need the cold to get real action in sub..
  13. Frog Town
    Said it 1000x's already, we NEED the mean trough to be anchored in the upper Midwest/Plains for use to get what we want. Anything over the Great lakes is thread the needle hybrids and clippers, or what we've had the past two winters. Arctic air hitting the great lakes is what we want to happen after a big dog.. There is light at the end of the tunnel if the ENSO/Pacific can transition to a neutral as the it appears to be doing towards the middle of January. Question is, will it be too late??
  14. Frog Town
    If this works out, it will be a repeat of last year. I've said it a 1000x's before, the cold needs to be centered to our west for this sub to be in any kind of action other than the nickel and diming we've been experiencing.
  15. Frog Town
    I can be patient and wait 10 days for this pattern flip that seems to be modeled pretty well on just about everything, but I'm hoping it lasts for a few weeks. Hate to wait 10 days for something that lasts 5...
  16. Frog Town
    Seems like that's been progged pretty well and is apparently part of the pattern change mid-January that everyone is banking on.
  17. Frog Town
    Appreciate you. Thanks!
  18. Frog Town
    Does NW Ohio live in a radar gap or does the system truly depend that much on lake enhancement that the returns weaken that dramatically in our area? Seeking the expertise of an actual met. I mean, it's still snowing, but has nowhere near the returns it had 10 miles before entering NW Ohio.. Thanks!!
  19. Frog Town
    Exactly!
  20. Frog Town
    AKA the Irish Hills, yes. I believe it affects our storms in the Summer and snow in the Winter. More anecdotal, but other Mets have commented on it.
  21. Frog Town
    Where I sit in Sylvania, I believe we’re affected by subtle orographic descent off the glacial ridge to our northwest. I’ve seen it too many times to ignore—it often produces a noticeable drying effect, especially when systems approach from the NW.
  22. Frog Town
    Just need to keep that -NAO in check so we don't end of CAD...In this pattern, a weaker -NAO(with all other things being equal) is a what we want. I know the east coasters hate this but what's good for them is not necessarily good for us. -NAO is good for us when it comes to maintaining a winter like pattern locally, but ideally after we have a deep snow pack.
  23. Frog Town
    .5" here in Toledo metro so heavy stuff must of went just south of here.
  24. Frog Town
    I think there’s some wisdom in this. Kids growing up in today’s climate will, 20+ years from now, look back with snowy nostalgia on winters that followed this general pattern across much of the region. We bring this up often, and this is a good example of how fickle our memories can be when it comes to how things actually unfolded in the past.
  25. Frog Town
    If there's a place that's prepared for this last minute, it's your neck of the woods. Congrats!
×
×
  • Create New...