Hoosier

I am sure we will set some sort of longevity warmth streak before too long. Seems like it's becoming more common.

Well, already around 130k today. Growing possibility we will see 200k before this month is over.

One thing about NYC... they don't play around. A 2-3% positivity rate anywhere else would be a snoozer. Heck, there are many places across the country right now with a 10% or greater positivity rate that have few or no restrictions.

Utah now has a statewide mask mandate. There are the enforcement issues of course but at least a higher percentage of Utahns (always wanted to type that word lol) should be wearing them.

Most or all of the colleges/universities in Indiana are not requiring "exit testing" for covid prior to students returning home for Thanksgiving. Hopefully nobody inadvertently kills a parent or grandparent.

Illinois had 6700 cases last Tuesday.

Starting to get April/early May type death numbers now in IN. 67 reported today (63 confirmed, 4 probable). In an ominous sign, case numbers are up about 70% just from last Tuesday.

Eli Lilly antibody treatment got an EUA. https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/fda-authorizes-eli-lilly-s-covid-19-antibody-treatment-emergency-n1247201 Supply may be an issue given the case growth we are experiencing, but it is a good piece of news prior to the vaccine.

Interesting to compare the hospitalizations and deaths over time. Back in spring, we were getting 2k plus death days. The summer surge, despite roughly the same number of hospitalizations at peak, resulted in significantly less deaths. If you just view it as deaths per hospitalized patients (not saying this is perfect), it appears like we are doing worse than summer but better than spring. This makes sense in a way, as the virus has penetrated all over the country which means it has gotten into areas that may not be as well equipped. Also, a lot was learned between spring and summer, but I'm not sure how much more has been learned from summer to fall.

Knocking on the door of 60k hospitalizations nationwide, which is about what the peaks were in the spring and summer.

For Fort Wayne, the highest number of 70+ degree days in November is 8 (1964)

With the possible exception of Christmas Day or right after, we won't have a sub 100k day until next year.

Remember what Forrest Gump said. Angrysummons is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're gonna get.

Set the daily case record in my county today despite cases being down statewide (typical for a Monday).

He was questioning the administration's plan to distribute the vaccine, saying it is flawed. That's one thing, but he threw in a line about it being good news that Pfizer has promising results and bad news that it is 2 months before a Biden administration. That quote is going to be blasted all over the place and would've been better left unsaid.

If we're being honest, the public comments about the vaccine rollout by Governor Cuomo are not helpful. The vaccine has already become political in some ways, no need to throw in more fuel if the goal is to vaccinate as many as possible.

There's a lot of skepticism about this vaccine. I saw a survey where significant numbers of doctors and healthcare workers said they wouldn't take the vaccine. Doesn't mean they can't change their minds of course. These are people in the medical field, so I can imagine how skeptical the general public will be. One challenge will be convincing people who had covid to get the vaccine. "I already had covid so I don't need the vaccine."

Yeah, gonna be weird having a different host. I read that they taped episodes as recently as October 29, so his condition must have gone downhill pretty swiftly.

Me too

RIP Alex Trebek. Loved watching Jeopardy over the years.

Almost as many cases as yesterday in IN. That is an impressive thing since typically there is like a 15-20% drop in what's reported from Saturday to Sunday.

Yeah that was quite a scene after the game.

Agree. The wind fields and at least a little skinny CAPE should allow for a lower end/marginal risk type setup, but the threat would be substantially more robust with just a bit better mid level lapse rates and surface heating.

Almost 40,000 more cases than last Saturday

We wouldn't have to be talking shutdowns if people acted more carefully. The thing is you need almost everybody doing it at all times. I don't know how you're going to get the public to buy in to shutdowns/stay at home again, especially around the holidays.