Hoosier

Would be interesting to see a county by county breakdown of essential businesses and how many people are still required to physically show up to work. My uncle works at a large, well known one here in northwest IN and they have a few cases there now. Went from 1 case to 3 cases.

We have satellites and radar to track hurricanes and tornadoes. China tried to block everybody from seeing the hurricane.

^you can play around at the county level at that site as well. There are state grades and county level grades.

Updates often but for now, we aren't doing great with social distancing https://www.unacast.com/covid19/social-distancing-scoreboard

Playing it down in mid January is nowhere near as bad as playing it down in late February. Lots of blame to go around though, starting with the Chinese government.

Because of the lag time. You are contagious with this thing for a long period of time, so a relatively low percentage of total cases are technically in the "clear" or "recovered" right now even though they will end up being fine.

Watching the bigger European countries overall (not just Italy) for trends as far as what happens past the peak. Unfortunately, even when you finally get past the peak day of deaths, there seems to be a period where it just keeps hanging around 70-90% of what the peak day was. Very concerned we will see that here too, especially since we still don't have our stuff together on a national level. The remaining states that don't have a stay at home order need to just do it already. Having 80-90% of the country doing it is better than nothing, but as long as it's not all 50 states, it is going to slow down our progress in the long run.

Indiana death toll has surpassed 100. Also disturbing.... how is this still happening at this point? We need rapid result testing. "The department has said that the additional deaths it reports each day occurred over multiple days. Those deaths are reported once there is a confirmed positive test for COVID-19 in each case." https://www.wlwt.com/amp/article/with-24-more-deaths-indiana-coronavirus-death-toll-tops-100/32031602

Man that sucks. I think the name of the game is to hold off getting it for as long as you can (maybe some good treatments as time goes by), without living completely paralyzed by the uncertainty. Even though the odds are strongly, strongly in favor of younger and middle age adults surviving, there are enough stories of pretty severe illness out there among that group to get you thinking.

Getting together with my sister and her kids at a park tomorrow. Hope there isn't anybody else around but on a nice April day in the 60s... not likely.

Minimizing your time going out is one thing, but no way I'm staying inside at all times for the next month (or probably longer). I will start wearing a mask... if I can find any. Otherwise will have to improvise.

https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/coronavirus-may-cause-brain-damage-21804695

How have you guys changed your habits during this? I keep hand sanitizer in my car. I always change my clothes right after coming home. I disinfect my phone way more than I used to. One thing I don't really do is wipe down groceries and other items so I guess I haven't reached a 10 out of 10 on the paranoia scale yet

Can't he just bypass the legislature? In Ohio I think the public health commissioner (or whatever the title is) stepped in and basically said we're not having this election because of the public health hazard.

Why in the world is Wisconsin still planning on voting next Tuesday?

Indiana over 3000 confirmed now. Deaths steadily rising but fortunately not really accelerating... yet.

Was reading something sobering a little while ago about how covid-19 may become the leading cause of death in the US for a period of time pretty soon. Heart disease is #1 with over 1700 deaths per day on average.

The onslaught of fatalities and still less than ideal testing capacity has pushed the US confirmed case fatality rate up to near 2.5%. No, it's almost certainly not the real fatality rate from this illness, but that percentage will keep going up unless we start testing at a much faster rate than we are now.

Ohio didn't really close stuff much earlier than the other states. I think there are probably multiple reasons for why it hasn't been as bad there. Cancelling the primary is likely a factor. From the link I posted earlier today...

Disturbing that we are at or over the top end model projections for US deaths at this point. Worldometers has over 1000 today.

For sure. The Cook county deaths jumped out at me. 2/3 of the total deaths in Illinois have been there so the percentage from today's update (35/42) is even higher. Little ways out into the future but I am a bit concerned about what happens if Lake county IN were to open back up before Illinois does. May have people spilling over the border to go to the beaches, etc.

35 of the 42 new deaths in Illinois are in Cook county. Yikes

And 78 more deaths

Article comparing what states in the region have done, and also some thoughts about why Michigan is getting hit so hard: https://www.bridgemi.com/michigan-health-watch/why-did-coronavirus-spread-so-fast-michigan-compared-neighbors

Another thing is that people who live together pass it on to each other, accounting for some percentage of new cases.