eyewall
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Everything posted by eyewall
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After that disaster strikes and it tracks right to Raleigh:
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Coastal takes hold somewhere just inland in SC:
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The GEFS won't save Raleigh on this run but here are the members:
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Ahahah yeah for sure. Wish we could push the big totals farther east but I will settle for glazed tree shots I guess LOL. (I am in the bargaining phase of the grief cycle here).
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A rough go at a call map for now:
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For RDU the dry slot cuts off the ice after a solid hit but the backside deform band misses to the NW. Another few ticks east and we could get into that.
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It is a little better this run. Puts the ice corridor right up US-1:
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The coastal crosses over the Sounds rather than up 95. This would mean a front end thump to mix, perhaps a dry slot and maybe catching a little on the back end:
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It is the ICON but it transfers to a coastal low in the deep south with the new primary taking hold off Savannah/Charleston. The old low weakens south of Columbus, GA
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NAM puts the baroclinic zone right where you want it and where it makes the most sense normally:
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I am also a photographer so cold rain doesn't exactly make for great weather shots lol. ZR can if there is a enough on the trees though.
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That is the problem is we go over to 38F and rain ultimately. Also the warm nose almost always overperforms compared to the models so it will mostly be sleet/ZR then rain.
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It definitely is looking more and more like it will be shite for the RDU area. I think it is time to check out of this one. Enjoy to those that get it.
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I think my last post was deleted but the 18z GFS was a glimmer of hope. It will take a lot to pull this from the grave at RDU but we shall see. I hate seeing the Euro stop at 90 hours for 18z.
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You are looking good there too.
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Current status: Boone: Going to shovel for my weed man Charlotte: We're still in this! Winston-Salem: We're going to party like it's 1899 after this one Greensboro: Does the bar have a generator? Raleigh-Durham: Looking for a DD to drive you to Boone after booking a hotel room on Kayak.com Fayetteville: You know what it means if we hear thunder Wilmington: Reviewing tornado precautions with a hangover
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Sledding won't be a problem for those that get an inch of ice. You can build a luge course.
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Yep it is crap. Front enders are the worst:
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Nope, not going to get it where we need it on this run:
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I have no idea. Would have to find maps from that time. I think it was in 94 but can't be 100% sure. As for the Burlington event that was in 2013 I believe. It was 55F at 4,000ft.
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Yeah I saw it in the 90's on Long Island once. The best was witnessing 12F and freezing rain in Burlington VT.
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Lake Tahoe
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The screw line is somewhere in the vicinity of I-77 for now. The sad thing about losing this one is the ground was getting good and primed to maintain a snow cover.
