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eyewall

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by eyewall

  1. eyewall
    They haven't been to the school of NC weather with cold chasing the moisture.
  2. eyewall
    Paywalled. Can you give the general idea?
  3. eyewall
    Euro is not as good with phasing the vortmaxes compared to the 12z GFS run but it is close. Again that is the real key to this whole thing.
  4. eyewall
    Still in good shape there.
  5. eyewall
    yep much better interaction of our vortmaxes
  6. eyewall
    It is banking on two rounds with this area on the southern edge of the first and back in the main round as well.
  7. eyewall
    Here is to hoping as we anxiously await the 12z suite.
  8. eyewall
    The moose says you're closed. I say you're open!
  9. eyewall
    Raleigh salvaging a good winter is on life support at this point that is for sure. It has been tough to be constantly shafted in a solid pattern.
  10. eyewall
  11. eyewall
    Note the small differences in the vort max over TN along with the southern piece of energy. These subtle differences are going to make or break this event IMO.
  12. eyewall
    Interestingly, the GFS brings the main round of snow late Friday night/early Sat morning on the 6z run. Honestly I still don't think there is a good handle on all these little shortwaves and how they will interact with the front. I don't think any forecast an be one of high confidence and bust potential is high everywhere in either direction.
  13. eyewall
    6z GFS:
  14. eyewall
    Right now this is a distinct possibility yes.
  15. eyewall
    That is my real name
  16. eyewall
    Call Map as of 7:45pm
  17. eyewall
  18. eyewall
    It is definitely improvement over 12z. Not a huge NW shift but also an expansion of the QPF.
  19. eyewall
    From the 12z run:
  20. eyewall
  21. eyewall
    And of course the pattern will inevitably change soon enough so missing these means we are nearly out of time.
  22. eyewall
    yeah if we don't get one by the end of this month and the pattern shifts we're done.
  23. eyewall
    I guess the good side of this is we know it is likely a bust before it happens unlike December 2000 in central NC.
  24. eyewall
    It is not even about being in the epicenter. We weren't to begin with. A nice 4-6 here has vaporized to maybe a dusting.
  25. eyewall
    Yep the walk down begins. This is not a good night.
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