sbnwx85

Some impressive totals for a Veterans Day storm. 287 NOUS43 KIWX 120129 PNSIWX INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-015- 016-024-025-121329- Public Information Statement National Weather Service Northern Indiana 829 PM EST Mon Nov 11 2019 ...SNOWFALL REPORTS THROUGH 8PM EST 11 NOVEMBER... Location Amount Time/Date Lat/Lon ...Indiana... ...De Kalb County... Auburn 3.1 in 0439 PM 11/11 41.37N/85.06W ...Elkhart County... 3 N Southwest 6.8 in 0445 PM 11/11 41.58N/85.93W 2 NW Goshen 6.0 in 0636 PM 11/11 41.60N/85.87W 1 WSW Goshen 6.0 in 0400 PM 11/11 41.58N/85.85W 3 ESE Elkhart 5.0 in 0445 PM 11/11 41.68N/85.92W 1 NNE Waterford Mills 5.0 in 0315 PM 11/11 41.55N/85.83W Goshen 5.0 in 0110 PM 11/11 41.58N/85.83W 3 WNW Goshen 4.5 in 0600 PM 11/11 41.59N/85.89W ...Fulton County... Akron 3.0 in 0308 PM 11/11 41.04N/86.03W ...Grant County... 4 WNW Hanfield 3.3 in 0640 PM 11/11 40.62N/85.66W Marion 1.0 in 0530 PM 11/11 40.55N/85.67W ...Huntington County... 1 ENE Huntington 3.0 in 0803 PM 11/11 40.88N/85.50W ...Jay County... 4 WNW Bryant 4.8 in 0803 PM 11/11 40.55N/85.03W ...Kosciusko County... 3 N North Webster 5.2 in 0702 PM 11/11 41.36N/85.70W ...La Porte County... 1 SSE Fish Lake 2.0 in 0521 PM 11/11 41.56N/86.54W ...Lagrange County... 2 NE Lagrange 6.5 in 0343 PM 11/11 41.67N/85.39W Shipshewana 5.8 in 0315 PM 11/11 41.68N/85.58W ...St. Joseph County... 2 ESE South Bend 4.0 in 0530 PM 11/11 41.67N/86.22W South Bend 3.5 in 1240 PM 11/11 41.68N/86.26W South Bend International Ap 3.1 in 0654 PM 11/11 41.70N/86.32W 3 SSE Mishawaka 3.0 in 1256 PM 11/11 41.63N/86.16W ...Steuben County... Orland 6.0 in 0404 PM 11/11 41.74N/85.17W 1 E Angola 4.8 in 0542 PM 11/11 41.64N/84.99W Angola 3.5 in 0311 PM 11/11 41.65N/85.00W 2 ENE Salem Center 2.7 in 0437 PM 11/11 41.59N/85.11W Fremont 2.5 in 1210 PM 11/11 41.73N/84.93W ...White County... Burnettsville 9.9 NNW 0.3 in 0100 PM 11/11 40.90N/86.65W ...Michigan... ...Berrien County... Stevensville 3.8 in 1200 PM 11/11 42.02N/86.53W 1 NNW Niles 3.3 in 0405 PM 11/11 41.85N/86.25W Benton Harbor 3.0 in 1253 PM 11/11 42.12N/86.45W ...Hillsdale County... 1 NE Moscow 9.0 in 0545 PM 11/11 42.06N/84.50W Hillsdale 7.0 in 0440 PM 11/11 41.93N/84.64W Jerome 6.0 in 0244 PM 11/11 42.03N/84.47W 1 NE Hillsdale 6.0 in 0237 PM 11/11 41.93N/84.63W ...St. Joseph County... 2 E Constantine 7.0 in 0500 PM 11/11 41.84N/85.63W Sturgis 3.7 in 1210 PM 11/11 41.81N/85.42W ...Ohio... ...Allen County... 1 WNW Lima 3.1 in 0816 PM 11/11 40.75N/84.13W ...Henry County... 1 NNE Napoleon 2.5 in 0802 PM 11/11 41.41N/84.12W ...Putnam County... 1 N Ottawa 4.8 in 0735 PM 11/11 41.04N/84.04W Columbus Grove 2.5 in 0628 PM 11/11 40.92N/84.06W Ottawa 0.5 in 0337 PM 11/11 41.03N/84.04W Observations are collected from a variety of sources with varying equipment and exposures. We thank all volunteer weather observers for their dedication. Not all data listed are considered official.

Moderate snow at the moment. Hoping the band stops its eastward progression and becomes stationary.

Lake effect band has come ashore in St. Joseph, MI.

Latest AFD from IWX: Current expectations are for decent inland penetration of banding tonight given strong northerly flow connected in with long axis of Lake Michigan and Lake Superior. With that said, hard to say if/where banding will hold in for a decent time for counties just south and east of the Winter Storm Warning (Elkhart/Kosciusko/Marshall/Fulton IN/Starke). Reduced visibilities, cold sfc temps, and additional accums will likely allow at least advisory level impacts to persist beyond the current 05z expiration in these counties. An upgrade to warning cannot be ruled out in Marshall/Starke/Elkhart counties if the southern end of more dominant band settles in for a time. Much higher confidence for additional 6" plus snow amounts and intense 1-2" snowfall rates in areas currently under a Winter Storm Warning. Latest guidance continues to suggest Berrien, far western Cass MI and St Joseph IN in line for longest duration in intense lake plume where localized totals will likely exceed a foot. Winds will also pick up on the western fringe which could create some blowing/drifting.

About 3" here. Now for the lake effect to set up. Expecting another 4 to 6 IMBY tonight. Possibly more if the band becomes stationary overhead. I'll post those updates and pictures in the lake effect thread. Absolutely fantastic for mid-November.

Best snows coming down now here. About 1.3 inches so far. The ducks aren’t thrilled.

HRRR showing poundtown for Berrien Co, MI and St. Joseph County, IN overnight. Single band that wobbles for about 12 hours.

Gimme gimme gimme!

A fun graphical interpretation of the event early next week from the TV station I work at.

In light of what appears to be a potentially impressive lake effect event in parts of the Great Lakes early next week I figured now is a good time to start up the region's lake effect thread for the winter. IWX hinting at the event beginning Monday.

Normally I love lake enhancement on this side of the lake in Indiana, but, as modeled, the wind off the "warm" lake keeps precip as rain here in South Bend. Oof. Oh well, it is October after all. I'll enjoy my rain/snow mix.

Obligatory "It's nice to have something to track" comment.

First MD of the event is out: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md1717.html

I haven't ever started a new thread before so a mod can feel free to change something if needed. This has been discussed in the short/medium range severe thread but it's not everyday we get a 10% hatched TOR threat from SPC in this region...especially in August. There's a chance this becomes an impressive, if not small, regional outbreak so let's get the party started. Discussion also mentions possible upgrade to moderate risk.

This was about 20 minutes ago in Mishawaka, IN. Didn’t measure but I would eyeball about a half inch on the car. Roads are a bit slick but not bad. For April 27th...this is really something to see.

WSW for LOT's northern tier of counties.

What was the look for Northern IN? I was going to go to the White Sox game Saturday night but, uh, nah.

Since it's mid-April and I'm ready for 70 degree weather, I'm happy to see pictures of snow while looking at 37 and rain IMBY. Enjoy the snow...I guess?

Sun starting to peak out a little more often here. Although I'll be sandwiched between the best forcing today. I heard some rumbles of thunder last night so I'm happy.

South Bend at -6 at midnight. Won't break the max high record of -8. If only we were on Central Time!

Remarkable lake-effect event ongoing just to my north. Sunshine with some clouds mixed in here. Near blizzard conditions continue just 15 miles to my north.

Some public and private entities are beginning to announce they'll be closed Wednesday and Thursday. St. Joseph County, IN offices will be closed both days. The University of Notre Dame will be closed from Tuesday 6pm until Thursday afternoon. Public schools should start announcing closures tomorrow. My local tv station calling for a low of -24 on Thursday morning which would break the all-time record in South Bend. (side note: high of 48 next Monday lol)

New P&C forecast from IWX has me at 6 to 11 inches. WWA wording indicates 5 to 8 inches. Edit: Looking through forecasts around me IWX clearly thinking lake-enhancement/lake-effect will up totals closer to LM. Can't say I disagree.

Usually I like my PDS watches to be of the tornado variety but I'd be okay with a PDS Wind Chill Watch/Warning.