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sbnwx85

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Everything posted by sbnwx85

  1. Planes landing at South Bend go right over where I work. When I was leaving I thought we had one coming right at me. I looked up and it was normal altitude, but the cold air must make the sound travel more efficiently. I thought I was going crazy but glad I’m at least not alone. Down to -6 now. HRRR has a low of -13 with snow pack and clear skies it is certainly possible. Record today is -17.
  2. I think IWX upgrades watch to a warning then puts rest of its counties under an advisory for 3-6”. Although Berrien and Cass get that amount later with lake effect
  3. And isn't this all really about the friends you make along the way?
  4. Brutal winter day again. Frigid, windy and lake effect snow. The flakes and the wind is probably breaking them apart but it’s making for low visibility at times. Also, the snow is developing just a few hundred feet above the ground so the radar doesn’t look impressive. Also, the sun peeks through between snow showers. Road salt isn’t working because of the cold so there are a lot of slide offs and crashes. I even had to help my gf who slid off the road in a neighborhood this morning. Very arctic feel today.
  5. Catching up this morning — too bad most guidance showing the drying trend on the north side of this system. Hopefully ratios make up for lack of QPF but 3” of system snow seems like a lock here. We’ll see what the lake can deliver on Monday.
  6. 00z NAM is southeast. More in line with the Euro now.
  7. Posting for posterity. Should continue to grow.
  8. As good as that 11.2" looks over SB, the Euro is overdoing tomorrow's lake-effect locally. Probably subtract 4" from that for me. The lake-effect on Monday looks decent though.
  9. I can't even imagine what 4-6" of sleet looks like.
  10. Euro still drops 7" IMBY followed by 3" of lake effect on Monday.
  11. Some of the icing in the Deep South is going to be devastating. Easily 1" of ice in spots from Texas to Tennessee.
  12. This is our last hope to pull something out of this weekend's system. #ThanksTrump
  13. Another nudge north. Although you can tell the precip shield struggles to get any further north.
  14. UKIE looks about the same as previous runs on the 10:1 maps although there is now a much cleaner cut on the northern edge of the 6” snows.
  15. 2. That model has been terrible this season.
  16. Early, early call if the foreign models are correct: 4-6" in Chicagoland; 6-8" across Michiana. Add an inch or two for lake-enhancement if it applies to your backyard. Obviously, the bigger the totals, the more south and east you get.
  17. European just now starting its 12z run. A little delayed.
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