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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Also good to see that trough NW or N of Hawaii and another trying to load up near Japan. Maybe that one cools the SSTs and help re-aling the PDO domain?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    During La Nina years, the Pacific is pretty zonal and floods the CONUS with zonal puke. The EAMT can enhance that and just take us from bad to worse.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like the medium to long term guidance is starting to pick up on the consequences of the EAMT event that @brooklynwx99talked about.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    If we get to MLK day with IAD, BWI, and DCA not recording at least 1" of snow on the season, then we are in big time trouble.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    I was at Millersville University from 2005 - 2011 (undergrad and grad school). The longest snowpack that I ever saw was post Valentine's Day 2007 storm. Truly, an event to remember. We went from snow to ice/rain, then outright vodka cold. Students were walking on top of the ice pack for several days and the Susquehanna River froze over so much that people were 4-wheeling near Rt. 999 & Rt. 441.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    This would be good news for forecasting in areas of the globe that have limited surface observations and rely heavily on remote sensing technologies such as satellite and aircraft. I could see this type of forecasting aiding in other areas such as the ENSO and polar domains. Imagine having a more accurate forecast of the morphology of the polar vortex even out to 30 days.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    For snow lovers, here is your chance to get some early season flakes in the next 10 - 14 days. A great discussion courtesy of @brooklynwx99
  8. Eskimo Joe
    For snow lovers, here is your chance to get some early season flakes in the next 10 - 14 days. A great discussion courtesy of @brooklynwx99
  9. Eskimo Joe
    It was funny the day after games. She lived in Shady Side off 5th avenue and there was a grocery store near her apartment. There was this group of retired guys that would drink coffee and eat donuts out front of the store every Monday and complain about how it "wasn't a good victory" and dissect the game play by play. I thought that was a one off, but that scene repeated itself all over the city. Random people just arguing over the quality of winds. I've never seen that anywhere else in any other fan base! As for this winter, I think S Central PA hits climo snow. Probably nothing to write home about for this winter, I truly hope I'm wrong. I've become increasingly pessimistic about "good winters" where the season isn't a torch and snow cover lasts more than 20 minutes.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Classic autumn brush fire risk.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    My wife went to Pitt for grad school in 2011-2012. I went to see her in the Burgh every weekend. If it's one thing I've learned, it's that Steelers fans are never happy with their teams record. Even if they win the Super Bowl, it probably wasn't a "good win".
  12. Eskimo Joe
    ABC 7 isn't the A Team of forecasting.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    We'll never see another 2009 - 2010 winter in our lifetimes at this latitude. Are you in favor of that evolution or not? I'm concerned the ridge being too far east would push our trough and subsequent coastal lows too far offshore.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Even a bit of ridging over Greenland?
  15. Eskimo Joe
    ^not bad
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Any peer reviewed research available to read?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    What does that mean? I've never heard of an Atlantic tripole.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Good to see. Let's hope it continues. It's slightly encouraging to see the main lobe of the polar vortex on our side of the globe. Would like to see a big more ridging in the NAO domain, but the Pacific doesn't look nearly as hostile as previous runs. Hope this continues.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. Big test will be to see if: 1.) This pattern holds or improves as we near the timeframe 2.) Do we "kick the can" 3.) Do we score? Even if it's the NW suburbs that get a 1" - 2" slushy coating on the grass, that would be a win.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a sun spike. https://www.lakeeriewx.com/CaseStudies/RadarSunSpikes/RadarSunSpikes_copy(1).html
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Things definitely trending in the right direction for New England on the GFS and Euro. Heck, the 00z Euro and it's ENS appear ready to deliver a legit polar air mass late next week. Might crank up the lake effect machine.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Yea I was surprised. The CC imagery suggested snow as far east as Sabilasville and Catoctin Mt, but only Garrett County appears to have picked up anything of consequence.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    I just checked the climate reports for both sites and did not see any snow recorded at either location.
  24. Eskimo Joe

    DRAWING

    Eskimo Joe replied to KI5ZKC's topic in Meteorology 101

    To my knowledge, that capability does not exist.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    The airport is getting developed and they started planting corn in the field nearby so the Td in the summer is getting weirder.
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