Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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How hilarious would it be if DCA never gets below freezing this week?
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Hope we can get that Pacific jet to relax sooner rather than later. I'm worried it's going a lot longer than modeled to spin down and we just burn through peak climo just trying to reshuffle everything.
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Pacific Puke every year.
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Are there any analog years where the El Nino continued to strengthen into JFM? If so, how did those years fare in the snowfall department locally?
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Don't look now, but the 12z HRRR tries to drop a streamer into @psuhoffman territory tomorrow AM.
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The week of Dec 15th is my yearly benchmark. If we go through that time and there's nothing on guidance, then start warming up the golf clubs because we're staring down the barrel of another disappointment.
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If we need to wait to mid Jan to get on the board then just about every snowfall forecast is in serious trouble.
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Impressive win by the Eagles. -
Yea that's a big caveat here. Some subtle shortwave might pop up at D3 and we're in business. @wxmvpete talked about this.
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I'd like to see the trough get further west and the GOA low further west. Otherwise, we should really temper expectations.
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E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
I don't relying on backend winters, especially now that I live south of 40N. It's a dangerous game. -
E PA/NJ/DE Fall 2023 OBS/Discussion Thread
Eskimo Joe replied to Rtd208's topic in Philadelphia Region
Not looking good in the medium to long term for snow either. It's been torture for snow lovers since the winter of 2014-2015. -
It was a poor attempt at JI humor. Should have put the /s in there.
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We're already punting a 1/3 of the winter....
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Seasonal futility markers will be coming into view shortly.
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DCA got down to 36.
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How so?
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Are you okay?
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GFS seems to have the UHI modeled better.
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That is a key feature in east coast snow storms. Big high, snow flies.
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It's in the perfect spot to do this. More please.
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Yes. Curious about this stat for BWI, DCA, and IAD.
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With more states launching mesonets, I wonder if a mesonet site will qualify for climate data someday.
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What website was that graphic generated from?
