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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Yes that can happen, but typically it's reserved for a La Nina year where the southeast ridge is pumped up and just deflects everything away from us.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yup. Mosby's is one of our favorite places to go when we're in town. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Nice. My wife grew up in West Hempfield and her parents live in Mt. Joy behind the old Darrenkamps. -
For that to work in our favor, we want it to bleed south slowly and really pour into the US to our west. We don't want some shot of cold air directed right over us like last winter because it just jacks up the pattern and we get stuck in cold and dry for a few days.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Dry air warms quick, also Mt. Joy is getting more concrete. -
With the pattern advertised on the 12z EPS we should also see decent snow cover develop over southern Canada and the Great Lakes. Good to build it up now so future airmasses during better climo aren't modified too much over warm, bare ground.
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This will be our first test to see if we'll see a juiced up, cold verification or bust.
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Everybody gets a brush fire through Saturday
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^weak wave riding a fresh airmass...we can score easily in those events.
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Baltimore TV mets posting a Euro OP 1104 hour snow map on social media.
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Once again showing the trough near Hawaii and at least a lobe over the TPV on our side of the globe. Nice.
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From @wxmvpete
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^
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18z GEFS gets the NW suburbs on the board with a slushy coating to perhaps 2" above 800 ft next week. Even the immediate NW suburbs would see TV Snow with the current advertisement.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
Eskimo Joe replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
18z GFS is definitely good for a quick coating of snow for most areas. Hope this holds. At least we're inside 200 hours now. If we see this persisting come Sunday evening, then we're definitely looking at something. -
Thoughts on that west coast trough? Maybe the pattern relaxing for a time?
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True, but one glimmer of hope is that we are under 200 hours now. This isn't some 300+ HR plus fantasy.
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^right there is an absolutely classic ridge bridge. Also, look NW of Hawaii...another trough building in.
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What happened during that event? Is this site the DCA of New England?
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Bro 32" seasonal total at DCA? I'm going with 9" in the CWG contest. Holy ****
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Thank you both. Very insightful analysis and visualizations.
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Love your Calvin & Hobbes avatar. They loved snow and so do I. Interesting how our two best El Nino winters both followed the December 5th rule.
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Is a +IOD or -IOD favorable for east coast snow?
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If we can get some snow along the Blue Ridge it should help mitigate the wildfire risk. There are still a half dozen active fires.
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