Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Wonder if this weekend's rainstorm starts that process. I think something similar happened in 2009 where we had a rainstorm around the 9th that re-shuffled everything in the Atlantic in time for the 12/19 storm.
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Precip in sight but not reaching the ground.
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Spatan or bust.
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18z GEFS looks good at 500mb, but it's a blistering torch across Canada at the surface unfortunately.
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Shocker. Always put your money in the model that shows the least amount of snow.
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Amazing how the 12z EPS 1% snowfall probability illustrated Parr's Ridge in Maryland, and the Welsh Mountains and Furnace hills in Lancaster County, PA.
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SPC mesoanalysis has low level lapse rates of -7.5 to -8 c/km over our area. That's efficient for transporting cold air to the surface and sustaining frozen precip as the convective elements work through the region.
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Legit decent burst of SN- in Reisterstown. Marking today as Trace amount of snow.
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Euro amplifies a wave of low pressure along the front that tugs the cold air in before things can dry out. GFS does the same thing, but to a lesser extent so it's mainly a car topper N&W. Still would be more snow for many than the last 2 years.
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Thanks for the insight. Appreciate it. I understand the GOA low is a permanent feature, just don't like the placement.
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Data from the Maryland Mesonet is now available to the public. Our Clarksville Site (001MD) can be found on the NWS Enhanced Data Display. Additional sites will be installed next week, and we hope to have about 6 to 10 sites in total streaming data by New Years. So long as the winter isn't too rough, we may be able to keep installing stations. We are working on a map on the Maryland mesonet website, but there have been some complications with data getting past the UMD firewall. Eventually, we'll have products similar to Oklahoma and New York mesonets. NOTE: For any NOAA folks here, it's site ID 001MD in the Synoptic API. Click HERE to view data. EDIT: To add the data, click on the link above then under Layers -> Surface Observations and Analysis -> Near Real-Time Weather Observations (NOAA) and click the Synoptic API radio button under Interactive Observation Control.
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Looks like rimmed snowflakes. Make sense given the tongue of warm air at the surface.
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Nothing wrong with a Spatan Lager or Oktoberfest.
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The GOA low is just too far east and continues to flood our source region with pacific puke.
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Yes
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Bro no
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Heads up @mappy @HighStakes @asalt1and @psuhoffman mPING and the CC scan on Sterlings radar would argue you get some kind of frozen precip tonight.
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There's a lot of Stockholm syndrome going on in the long range thread. We just subconsciously punt 30% of winter now by default, which leaves us maybe 4 or 5 weeks before the sun angle becomes a problem. This isn't a winning strategy in these parts anymore. I genuinely have tried to be optimistic this year, but it's clear we're in a world of hurt unless things change right quick. Each day that passes the clock ticks louder and louder as the snowfall futility markers inch closer.
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Only works if we have cold. Otherwise it's 35 and rain.
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Not if it melts away in 3 days.
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You're learning.
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Got a 2m surface temp anomaly?
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YMMV?
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I would take anything said by that individual with a grain of salt.
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M0.29" Reisterstown storm total.
