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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. I could see CTP nudging the Mason-Dixon counties into an advisory then maybe a late upgrade if things go well up there.
  2. ^man that's some sick lift. Someone is going to get legit fluff from this storm. My jackpot for this would be Winchester up through the Catoctins.
  3. Parr's Ridge also helps with a bit of lift. I know @wxmeddler has some research background on that.
  4. 12z UKMET has a closed vortex over the St. Lawrence Valley, the GFS does not. That appears to be a key difference at 500mb.
  5. For the first time in years I'm legitimately optimistic about the chances with a storm. This might be the one that kicks off a solid period of winter.
  6. That's some insane front end thump on the NAM. Wow.
  7. Can't wait to see the Bittinger and Frostburg snow depths from this event.
  8. 00z GFS would be my biggest storm since the January 2016 blizzard.
  9. I can never understand why Fox 5 love the GRAF model and having it put out snowfall to the nearest tenth of an inch.
  10. No more north nudges. Please.
  11. Hey western MD peeps!
  12. In Olney. Some slush on the mulch. Temp down to 34 degrees.
  13. Decent squalls moving through the Laurel Highlands right now. Might he the Maryland action for later.
  14. that would be sweet. Keep the Euro track but moisten up the northern edge up to Rt 30 in PA to around 0.4 or 0.5 liquid and everyone gets an easy win!
  15. It felt great in Bittinger putting the mesonet site in yesterday. Like deep winter!
  16. Definitely a few convective elements working east from I-81 into Loudoun County. Someone is going to get a quick half inch to inch.
  17. Turn on some Trammell Starks from Jan 1996 and watch the snow come in: https://twcclassics.com/audio/years-1996.html
  18. As others have mentioned in the past, the northern edge of the precip shield is moistening up as we close in. Love the 12z Euro and EPS. Let's reel this one in.
  19. Lightning strikes showing up just NW of Petersburg, WV!
  20. Camp David ASOS is reporting "haze" and 1.75 mil visibility. Likely small flakes and a lot of them.
  21. It's refreshing to see the primary stay along the KY/TN line on a lot of the guidance now. That plus a robust 700 mb low passing to our south help us win in the snowfall department.
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