Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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00z RAOB for IAD coming in: 2200 CAPE and LL lapse rates of -8 c/km. That Culpepper storm is going to sustain for a bit.
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Culpepper storm getting a TOR.
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Wonder if this line overturns all the instability tonight.
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Very impressive wind reports coming out with this line!
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Some impressive wind damage reports coming out of the mountains.
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Somewhat interested in tomorrow. The system coming across Missouri, Illinois, and Missouri seems energetic and is producing a decent number of tornadoes. We'll see what the visible satellite imagery tomorrow looks like.
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18z HRRR seems to be pooling some low level moisture better east of I-81. Good to see.
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Flying from Midway to BWI this afternoon through this mess should be fun.
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Makes sense. Don't think a 10% is needed, but we could definitely get a 30% wind tomorrow.
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Bingo. Probably a decent slight or enh risk tomorrow.
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I hope we don't have another cold summer.
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Sterling has been a leader in decision support for big events. It's nice to see this and I hope it becomes a standard across the NWS.
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Chill out.
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The orientation and proximity of the warm front on Monday would have me lean towards the NAM family. Definitely a decent set up for tornadoes.
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Oooo...can you share the new tables?
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IMO, there are too many mesoscale features in these parts to accurately define severe weather risk beyond D2. I'll be back in Maryland Sunday afternoon and hope to see some storms next week.
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Legit derecho
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Count on it. I'm in Alaska until Memorial Day.
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NNE flow can be great this time of year.
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And not much rain to show for it either.
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Northwest flow regimes can advent EMLs, which work to offset the many terrain issues that mitigate severe weather in this part of the country.
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NWS Sterling confirms 2 tornadoes from Saturday: https://www.weather.gov/lwx/GarrettTorsMay2024
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FYI, there are still spots open for this class
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Recurves for days.
