Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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lol we can't even score with heat anymore. This place is an absolute desert for interesting weather.
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The ridge axis in 2012 was further south across Kentucky to the Carolinas. As a result, our area was in a more favorable area for EMLs to advect east, and to steer mid level impulses into said EML in our area. You can see that on the Wilmington, OH sounding (https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/events/20120629/soundings/12062918_SNDG/). There was 6,800 SBCAPE ahead of that with a mid level lapse rate of over 8°c/km! We are almost assured to not be even in the ball park this time.
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Another summer, another drought.
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Yes I agree. Historically our big heat waves occur when you have strong high pressure situated from Kentucky to Bermuda.
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If you want excessive heat, then you want to be on the north or northwest side of this high. That maximizes the warm air advection.
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That's a bit of a hyperbole. There's no indication this is going to be an oven of a summer.
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If we could repeat last night's rain for a week that'd be awesome.
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M0.02" we just got grazed.
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We need the rain. I'm glad we had some showers and that I was incorrect.
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Oh nice!
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We're definitely going to slide back into a drought here shortly.
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The 20z HRRR is insistent on some ridge crawlers running east through the metros after 8pm this evening. Based off satellite, Id say that isn't happening. The CU field is just fading away.
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I surveyed that entire path. Started in Poolesville around 11:30pm - 2:00 am the night of the event. We even incorporated drones from the police department. After an exhaustive amount of work, there was a small gape of about 2 - 2.5 miles hence the split in the track.
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One thing we have going for us, RE: busting warm, is that our soils are bone dry. Every mesonet station clearly shows the 2" and 5" soil data nearly void of moisture. That might allow things to warm up fast.
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Ain't happening. Euro is always too hot beyond D3.
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Soil data (temp and moisture) is now available on the Frostburg mesonet site: https://weather.umd.edu/mdmesonet/?station=frostburg
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Preview of winter 2024-2025?
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As we get into the summer, we typically do great on parameters save two: EML and a strong kicker. As a result, we get those glorious pulsers that wreck one are but spare the rest of the county.
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Yea those "big heat" days are when you get a nice ridge stretched from Kentucky to Bermuda. You just bake.
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Yea absolutely nothing excites me about Friday.
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I think everyone is gun shy after last week.
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Going for the Labor Day tease that does absolutely nothing, but reset our climo.
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This is our year. I finally have enough money saved for a week long vacation at the beach starting the day before Labor Day.
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Euro 2m temps always seem overdone.
