Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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+30 at 925, +22 at 850. We cook.
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We've blown by the convective temp of 93 degrees per the 12z IAD balloon. Yet the cumulus field is just now struggling to bubble up. There has to be a cap or something.
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There appears to be a lack of a kicker, save a mesoscale boundary, and a mid level temperature inversion for today. The upside is that tomorrow's potential probably kicks up a notch if the instability isn't turned over today.
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+30 degree at at 925 descending off the mountains per the latest SPC mesoanalysis
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Even Site R ASOS up in PA is in the mid 90s.
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Even the APRS and mesonet sites near BWI are topping 100 degrees. This is clearly a hot airmass.
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Per the Tempest, just about to hit 90 degrees as we hit 10:00 am.
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+24 air at 925 according to the 12z RAOB from IAD.
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HRRR and NAM get the urban centers into the low 100s today.
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Looks like another day of record highs across the region. 102° at BWI & DCA, and 99° at IAD.
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Westminster mesonet site gusted to 35 mph and was missed by the worst of the storms.
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Wonder what happens when these storms meet the westward moving bay breeze.
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1300j/kg of DCAPE will do this. Storms go up fast, but can't sustain their updrafts then down they go!
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Second that. Holy downburst signature batman!
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Only got down to 78°.
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Yea we're probably going to cook Tuesday. Looks like 06z and 12z GFS push +30° air at 925 overtop the entire region. 700 mb is pretty dry too, so it's possible we bake with few clouds.
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Wednesday potential seems focus on several moving parts (shocker). Probably won't know much until Wednesday AM.
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Check out the 925 temps. It's not just some random pulse of air. It's a legit heat dome.
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I'm still waiting for all the snow he promised last winter.
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Yea. . . What a colossal failure by all guidance. Just wow.
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Check out the southeast winds causing the precip along the leeside of the Appalachians. Neat!
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Radar along the I-64 corridor is slightly encouraging for everyone west of the bay.
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Naw bro. We're like 6 years into an epic snow drought and it's going to be another sucko winter from the looks of it. Not sure how much more people can take. Heck, we've had a practically nonexistent severe weather season thus far.
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Probably some subsidence, but the dewpoints have crept up from the Catoctin Mts. east, so it's possible the front may be drifting west. If so, this puts I-95 in the game for at least a few hours of rain overnight.
