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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    12z NAM twins look like complete garbage. Not even MRGL risk worthy. Ooof.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you for the clarification! I've seen more AFDs reference "WPC AI guidance" and was getting concerned it was becoming just plug and chug computer nonsense in the Mid and long range.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, any forecast beyond D3 now is straight AI/auto generated with minimal input from forecasters. If I am wrong, someone please correct me.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    The only thing worse than a D2 MOD risk is a D3 ENH.
  5. Eskimo Joe
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Another big plume coming down from Canada. Western PA and Ohio back to Code Orange.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    There still is some suspended smoke on satellite.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Hopefully Canada isn't torched by Pacific puke for most of the winter.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    What would have been needed for more robust, widespread severe given that profile?
  10. Eskimo Joe
    ^Liz Leitman issuing that outlook. She's an incredible forecaster.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    With a raging east based El Nino? Don't hold your breath
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Thankfully the tornado risk isn't playing out.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Something's bound to pop on that.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Gust to 31 mph, M1.17" rainfall Frederick City mesonet site at the Community College.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Storms along the Frederick/Montgomery County line fading. Looks like an outflow boundary pushing south along I-270.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Storm just blowing up near Thurmont. Zero to wheeee in like 3 frames.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Frederick/Montgomery County going to be swapped from a Severe Thunderstorm Watch to a Tornado Watch
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Wow, 55,000 ft tops on the warned storm just south of Charles Town!
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. We'll see that severe thunderstorm watch in the next 20 min I reckon.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    While everyone is focused on the severe weather risk, we've busted into Heat Advisory criteria south of I-70. Some places pushing 110s for heat index.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Their meadow tea is amazing.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    It's inside, but I have bad luck of getting recalled for work when I finally get a date day with the wife.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Today is my first day off in almost a month. I've got a Lord of the Rings concert in Baltimore tonight, and we're getting wings at the Dive beforehand. Naturally, we're staring at a busy weather day.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    North side of a stationary front can mean
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Have fun, check out the road runners in the zoo!
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