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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Sun out in Rockville. Visible satellite showing some legit breaks in the clouds.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Storm just SW of Staunton looking like it's trying to spin a bit.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    CC: @wxmeddler Decent stuff.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    I work with a lot of MDEM folks. I probably know them
  5. Eskimo Joe
    the warm air is definitely surging into the region. Nanjemoy mesonet site already up to 67 degrees.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Peak heating
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Water vapor satellite imagery is actually encouraging.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    We fail 9.9/10 times. We're just trying to stay grounded.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    I tell ya. D2 Moderate Risk is the kiss of death in these parts. It's a solid setup, but we fail more often than not in these parts.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Yea that makes no sense. I don't understand these early dismissals.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Did SPC nudge a 60% wind in the d2 mod risk, or was that always there?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Lee surface low would make this legit MOD risk for tor/svr winds
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Welp....
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Yes he's extremely conservative.
  15. Eskimo Joe
  16. Eskimo Joe
  17. Eskimo Joe
    That's an entirely different event.
  18. Eskimo Joe
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Good trends if you want legit severe here tomorrow.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    06z HRRR had a UHI track from Dulles right to York, PA, another right over DC< and two more through Stafford and La Plata. Wow.
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
    SPC mentioning the potential for a long track tornado or two. Oh man.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    00z HRRR is legit. Several pre-frontal mini supercells then a solid squall line.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Yea for better or worse, if we go D2 MOD it's probably best to make a thread. We only average a mod risk once every couple of years.
  25. Eskimo Joe
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