Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Yes. Absolutely a move to the GFS.
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From the Philly subforum. Legit F O L K S
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Even if you cut the Kurhcera snowfall map down by 60% on the 00z GFS, it's still an impactful warning level event.
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One the 00z GFS the surface temps are marginal to start, but once we get to late afternoon things crank up fast and everyone gets between 29-32 degrees and it's ripping snow at night. Perfect.
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$20 says once the 00z Euro comes out the watches are expanded everywhere
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00z GFS 988 low tucked just east of Ocean City, MD at 00z Monday!
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This is why I always harp over the importance of a pronounced western ridge. Even in a marginal pattern, it can save you. It's improved incrementally almost every run on every model.
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This is the kind of storm that significantly impacts the power lines and trees while it struggles to accumulate on the roads.
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Go on . . .
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00z ICON has 3"/hr rates on Delmarva at 1am on Monday with a sub-980 low. Definitely a marginal risk for thundersnow too. Unreal.
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Even the traditionally drier 3km gets most of us to at least 4" - 6".
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Watch the NWs trend stop just enough to put DC in the precip minimum.
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IMO, 12z tomorrow is go/no go suite.
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Excellent. Thank you for the information.
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Latest NBM pushes double digit snowfall west to I-81. . .
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Nice to see the eastern outliers going away.
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Looks like the 18z GEFS is more amped, further west, and more liquid. Very good to see.
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Jan 26, 2011 is the closest I can think of: https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/2011/26-Jan-11.html https://www.weather.gov/lwx/20110126snow
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It was well written. Nicely done.
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12z runs tomorrow are me go/no go for this. I certainly would love to out with a bang. Just go bull bore on this.
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That's a power grid killer right now.
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Every run is deeper and closer to the coast.
