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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. If it's conducive for snow to our south, then we're in a position to score.
  2. EPS starting to get busy. Another good sign. EDIT: Yes, I know this is for TN, if it's showing a favorable pattern to our south, then we're in a position to score here.
  3. Not only has the west coast ridge trended sharper on the EPC, it's also trended stronger. Good to see.
  4. 100% probably one of the better model suites of the winter thus far. Bottom line: there's potential next week, but no one should be spiking the ball. I fully expect swings with each run, hoping to at least see a trend at 18z where things are still there.
  5. They seem to be more common in El Nino events, maybe the more active STJ is a requirement for these?
  6. A key ingredient for any legitimate snowstorm in these parts.
  7. Agreed. We're like 12 hours off from a legit event for everyone.
  8. Thus far, the 12z suite gives credence to a storm somewhere in the 1/15 to 1/17 time frame. It doesn't appear to be a cutter either, either it hits us or to our south. That's about all anyone should glean.
  9. Seems like a 50/50 low locks everything in? Not a terrible spot for the antecedent high, not great either. IIRC, that setup worked for 12/19/09 too.
  10. DGEX and then the DGEX and Canadian for the 2/10 event.
  11. As @Terpeast and @WxUSAF have often said, worry about thermals inside D5.
  12. Yea there's a decent moisture feed with that storm and it looks fairly neutral at 500 mb?
  13. Will echo others' sentiment about Jan 2025. My records indicate a total snow depth of about six inches for several days, with a low temperature of 1° twice.
  14. Indeed. Unfortunately some folks misinterpret posts like that so I was attempting to add a crumb of context.
  15. Paul Kocin cooked that metaphor up. He gets all the credit.
  16. Yes. To get a Major East Coast Storm, you need multiple ingredients to align. It's like cooking - a phenomenal meal needs to come together almost perfectly.
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