Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Yes. We've had it bad in this subforum, but the eastern shore and south jersey has effectively been on weenie suicide warning for almost a decade.
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The LWX AFD effectively highlights the strong dynamics at work. It would not surprise me to see someone between Baltimore and Philly/S Jersey get half a foot of snow from this.
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Sterling alluded to a "low end warning event" in their late morning AFD update?
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Those were absolutely rotten winters. Even the snowstorm that followed in January 2016 couldn't save the 2015-2016 winter.
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We can only hope. Upper 40s, low 50s I can stomach. I just hope we aren't stuck in days on end where our low temps are above our average highs. I'm talking about the coldest time of the year, lowest sun angle. I just loathe 60s this time of year. It's unnatural.
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Call me old fashioned, but I love the 00z/12z runs during northern stream events because their have upper air data incorporated into them.
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Giggity
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We're punting weeks of prime climo temps in the hope that we reshuffle the deck. That's dicey.
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Euro is great for I-95. Crashing temps, snow at night, it's a weekend. Money.
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Pain.
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Yea, long range isn't looking great. Really hope we don't flip to Pacific Puke for the rest of the winter after a false start.
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Classic La Nina and Miller B(ish) setup...a more poleward trend for storms this winter is clear. Thankfully, this was not slated to be a major event. Otherwise there would be some real heart ache here. With that said, I will happily take 1" - 3" of weekend snow just before Christmas.
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18z NAM
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12z Euro is a solid 2" - 4" with isolated amounts to 5" for folks east of US 15 & north of US 50. It's a weekend event, and the temps crash behind the storm. Also, we're under 72 hours now. Where do I sign?
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We're this close to greatness. Wow that's actually impressive coming from you. You've always struck me as a person that hedges warmer.
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Euro brings Barney in Sunday evening. Add a bit of snow and someone gets single digits I bet.
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Yea its noise, IMO.
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I would call it a winter if this happened.
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Low end warning event for everyone north of DC.
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If this holds to HR 60, I nominate @WxUSAF to make the thread.
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Much better.
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I'm fine if this is a one or three day event. I don't want to see this ridge just set up and bake for weeks on end.
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Evergreen quote for this subforum.
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