Eskimo Joe

Compared to this time last year, we're looking better. What I'm looking for from this upcoming event are a couple of thins: 1.) What model(s) handle this best. It could give us an idea as to what guidance can be trusted more this winter. 2.) Is this going to be a model fantasy, where nothing really happens. 3.) Is this going to be a kick-the-can event where it winds up being delayed, etc. 4.) Will a fluke pattern at the start of the season be enough to actually get a workable storm for some folks.

Screams inland.

I need my snow fix. Let's go with 6" to 10" cold powder that starts just before sunrise Christmas and ends right at sun down with a nice sunset.

M0.51" overnight. Windy. Finally feels like November.

1.) Load this link: https://geodata.md.gov/topoviewer/ 2.) Under 'Statewide' drop down menu, left click 'Statewide Shaded Relief' 3.) Under 'Base Maps and Overlays', check 'Counties. Voila.

Wish it wasn't behind a paywall.

NAO, "hold my beer"

#3 was great for me and I'd take it again for several reasons: Right before Christmas. Classic ''cold powder''...minimal mixing issues. See first bullet.

I love surf fishing. Starting in the early 2000s, I would catch Southern Kingfish in Ocean City, NJ. At first it was rare and only if the water was warm during the height of summer. Now, they're everywhere and can be caught as early as Memorial Day and as late as Columbus Day. Stripers in NJ leave earlier and earlier each spring and it's a shame. Our oceans are warming and no one seems to care.

#1. Xmas snow is incredibly rare here and would be much needed in 2020.

With many people working from home this winter, that would not be as bad as normal. Power or Internet outages would be far more impactful.

#1 because I've never experienced it.

#2

Mind if I ask what you elevation is?

You're actually in a very good position for storms that run a bit inland. While DCA will be 40 and rain, you'll still stand a fighting chance of a mix or some frozen.

I thought you moved out of Stephens City?

Snow for Christmas would be amazing this year.

16 or 28 would be best

^ yet 500 heights are pushing 570 in the area. We still lose.

Saving this for later.

It's the Mid Atlantic, we can always suck more at weather. The only sensible solution is to move west and north or out of the area.

No this was a line item in a presentation.

At DCA, prior to 2000 only 10% of winters had <10" of snow. Since 2000, 50% of winters have been below 10" of snow. The trends are undeniable.