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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. New England will rejoice on the GFS. One more juiced up run and we're going to meet climo snowfall for many.
  2. I'll be happy with 2 storms next week, but man the Euro for the 28th is nice!
  3. Euro has a decent shortwave trying to bust south from the arctic around the HR 168 - 174 timeframe. Wonder if that is gunking up anything closer to us?
  4. I'm psyched. We have legit potential for something special.
  5. If it weren't for the snowpack we'd be in the 60s today probably.
  6. KNAK overnight lows during the summer are starting to rival that of DCA and BWI. Annapolis "metro" is expanding pretty quickly.
  7. Paul Kocin spoke at Millersville AMS pre-2011. He said that you should never sleep on an intensifying surface low coming off the Appalachian Mts. They can give you tornadoes in the summer and a surprise snowfall in the winter. 80,000 power outages in 5 hours in Montgomery County, MD. Trees were coming down on police and fire apparatus while they were responding to calls. Roads could not be pre-treated because a small amount of rain fell during the day. That is my benchmark for what a "high impact" storm can deliver in the east coast megalopolis. Jan 26, 2011 is in my Top 5 weather events of all time. I was in Lancaster at the time and remember how powerful the front end thump was impressive. Then we just snizzled all day before the afternoon thump came in hard right at sunset. Looking back at the after action reports in our work library, apparently OPM issued an early departure mandate, but it wasn't enforced my mid level managers. Everyone in DC proper was looking out their window and seeing drizzle thinking it would be a bust. It wasn't until the spouses started calling from home and relayed conditions in the suburbs getting so bad that everyone bailed. By then it was too late. That's why you see language now on PM early departure notices that say "managers must dismiss staff no later than X time".
  8. Could be a sign of big dog potential when the guidance is having a hard time getting a handle on things.
  9. Has the EuroAI even been remotely correct this winter?
  10. I'll take anything to freshen up the snowpack. Stockholm Syndrome. We suck until we don't. Man that's nice. Couldn't ask for a better setup.
  11. A steady, light snow in Reisterstown.
  12. Decent dewpoint spike at our Westminster and Clarksville mesonet sites. Snow should be starting shortly in the western suburbs of Baltimore.
  13. We're going to get some snow-on-snow tonight. Yippee!
  14. Some decent returns all the way back to Cincinnati. Wonder if this thing has nudged further NW than thought?
  15. Advisories for DC metro and points south.
  16. Could you just imagine if we tripped into a 5" - 8" event somehow? It would be a tremendous mood booster.
  17. The hours leading into events are always my favorite. No matter how much frozen is forecast to fall, it's always wonderful watching the cirrus shield out the sun and give those lovely sunsets.
  18. First returns visible to our southwest on Sterling's radar.
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