3" qpf, a miracle would do it
We need the GOA Low to trend more SW/dig more. I've seen it, actually this is a common model trend for the same timeframe as we get closer(1st low breaking in a pattern). The problem is, I think we can reestablish -PNA a bit (red circle). GOA Low stays strong and digs more, we have a snowstorm. 1:10 odds I'd say, full phase 1:50.
(I have a feeling not everyone is reading my posts)