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StormchaserChuck!

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Everything posted by StormchaserChuck!

  1. StormchaserChuck!
    Going to be hard to change over I-95/NW for heaviest precip 14z
  2. StormchaserChuck!
    STJ still juicy at 336
  3. StormchaserChuck!
    NAM is still warm but,
  4. StormchaserChuck!
    13F at 9:06am
  5. StormchaserChuck!
    This is just awesome ^notice ensembles vs op
  6. StormchaserChuck!
    Bring on the Winter Storm Warnings Baltimore north!
  7. StormchaserChuck!
    That jump from 5-7-9-11 stands out
  8. StormchaserChuck!
    9 degrees at my home in Fallston... wondering if we can get 10" there
  9. StormchaserChuck!
    Should be WSW's here, 12 degrees. Expecting 5"+ in Bel Air.
  10. StormchaserChuck!
    21 degrees here.. never got above 22 today. It's going to be all snow/sleet in Bel Air. maybe drizzle when the low passes north. Kind of excited, convective storm. 980smb low passing overhead.
  11. StormchaserChuck!
    I could see a quick 4-5" here in Bel Air, 5-6" NW.
  12. StormchaserChuck!
    Well, it's 17 degrees outside. 12z NAM really wants to gravitate toward the coastline. will be a fun storm to nowcast. I think we can get 3-4 hours of really heavy snow.
  13. StormchaserChuck!
    decent match
  14. StormchaserChuck!
    GFS almost goes into the GOM too. I wonder how many times models have had a 1044mb high pressure over the Great Lakes today/tomorrow (before a storm). I remember not many situations in the 2000s. Not saying a big shift will occur, but it could be a variable. Still 58hrs away, a slight shift SE could still be in the cards.
  15. StormchaserChuck!
    Yeah, the 18z NAM is in the GOM. It does have a NW bias. Pretty far in the gulf, a slight shift could make a big difference.
  16. StormchaserChuck!
    Going to be really hard to sustain in a Nina.. I'd expect a dance around ECsnowstorm chances and PNA.
  17. StormchaserChuck!
    Maybe something here
  18. StormchaserChuck!
    There have, in the last few days been some ensemble members with ridiculous +550-600dm (3-4SD's -AO's and -NAO's.)
  19. StormchaserChuck!
    we get better each year
  20. StormchaserChuck!
    -NAO, -EPO
  21. StormchaserChuck!
    I don't know guys, this is some heavy precip as snow. I think it will overperform.
  22. StormchaserChuck!
    look at New Foundland all rain. It's been raining up to Alaska too
  23. StormchaserChuck!
    Might be wetter, fast mover though
  24. StormchaserChuck!
    Look how far north, big storm stronger 50/50
  25. StormchaserChuck!
    Big changes at 36
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