Itstrainingtime

As Big Ben of the Steelers would say, the Euro looks like poo. 

12 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

It stopped snowing around this time in the afternoon Sunday. It has remained cloudy and literally within a degree or two of 35ºF in the 72 hours since then. I dunno about any of you guys, but I'd actually like to see some sun and clear weather for a couple days. 

That's what I was saying earlier. This cloudy weather is somewhat depressing. 

28 minutes ago, anotherman said:

I think the snow will come. So many years where it looked cold and dry and everyone complained but eventually the snow came. Let’s get the cold air first.

Having established cold is one less thing to be worried about for sure. At the same time, we don't really need "cold" right now - we can swing this with average temps for the next several weeks. In January and the first half of February, I want moisture first and cold second. As long as we don't see cutters the next month or so, I like our chances. Get something under us and we'll likely be happy. If it's too cold, it's likely going to be too dry. 

8 minutes ago, paweather said:

1996!

Woke up on Saturday morning to a forecast of 2-4". Went to bed that night with a call for 12"+. Woke up Sunday morning and it was 20-30". By afternoon, it was up to 24-36". 

Final total = 30.5". 

1 minute ago, paweather said:

In my mind, January has become the most boring month here. I would love to just track a rain storm in this month if nothing else. 

25 years ago today, our weather was anything but boring.   

I've gone on record here previously stating that I enjoy a nice dark, dreary day - but at some point can we at least have SOME sunshine? We're on a roll lately with cloudy days...

44 minutes ago, CarlislePaWx said:

A couple of days ago I woke up to about 0.2" of snow that unexpectedly fell over night.  Funny thing is I don't remember which day that was precisely.  It was close to the end of the year, but before the 31st.  Any idea what day that might have been?  Adding in that 0.2" plus the 0.1" from today, that brings my seasonal total to 11.0".  (You can see it down at the bottom of my signature.)  I was intending to update that prior tiny coating but forgot to, and now I don't remember the day.

I posted my question on my phone and couldn't see your signature. Thank you for responding. I'm sitting at 10.8" so those 2 small events you've had recently has put you on top.

1 minute ago, CarlislePaWx said:

Well, so much for the 2 to 3 inches of snow.  Those wet snow bombs (which did look amazing) only lasted for maybe 15 minutes tops.  It was enough to accumulate about 0.1" with a tiny white coating.  Then, it stopped.  Then, the rain came back and deposited about another 0.07" of pure liquid.  On to the next one.

What is your seasonal total for snowfall to date?

18z GFS illustrates my fear from this morning perfectly. Northern stream energy pushes our system out to sea way south of us. Not saying that will happen, but the idea is gaining momentum...

All rain here other than a few sleet pellets earlier. 

Rain. 35 and dark, dank, dreary, drippy, and damp.

@showmethesnow great post this morning. Well thought and laid out in a way that is easy to understand. I guess we differ on thought regarding the northern stream impulse- you are correct in saying that it could kill this for us, which is why I said it would need to dig under and phase in. Otherwise, it's game over.

46 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

@Itstrainingtime  

@pasnownut

What are your thoughts on the upcoming storm chances later this week & next week?

I'm casually interested. Right now I'm concerned about both temps and the track. If we can get some northern stream energy to phase in south of our latitude, it's game on. I'm just not convinced that happens, and without it we'll be dealing with either a suppressed system, a warm one, or both.

1 hour ago, Mshaffer526 said:

Precip has changed from a sleet/ZR/snow mix to what seems to be all snow as it wraps up. Ground has whitened up nicely, especially on mulch. Unexpected little surprise.

Appreciate the little things! 

 

 

Had a nice period of sleet here, but no snow. Good for you! 

8 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

I upgraded to an iPhone 12 Pro a few weeks ago, it has one heck of a camera system. Really excels at the low light stuff, and also showing we’re still in the thick of the icing phase of this system here.

Just bought my wife the same thing for Christmas - I buy her iPhone's specifically for the camera as she loves to take pictures while we're walking. You took some great pics with a great phone.

32 and rain here but it isn't freezing on any surface.

14 minutes ago, SavageJack said:

Currently sleeting in Hanover. 

I've had off and on sleet/rain mix here. 

@anotherman I agree with you 100% on the post you made in the other thread about the build up and anticipation of a snowstorm. The analogy of Christmas is  spot on as well. I enjoy the hunt every bit as much if not more than the storm itself. 

14 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Steady light snow continues in Marysville!

The roads & all surfaces caved!

Beautiful way to end Christmas evening!

Yes sir - we've had flurries or very light snow for most of the day actually, but in the past hour or 2 beginning to see cars covered and some spots on my road. Certainly a very festive scene today!

I'm not sure why or how I quoted Eskimo Joe in my post,  but it is indeed -SN here for the past 20 minutes.

It's something...:)  

Rainfall from this latest torrential downpour brings my storm total to 1.66" with rain still falling. 

Up to 1.13" with on and off rains. 

In a dry slot now. Not sure if that slug of heavy rain down near DC affects us, it looks like it might miss east. Sitting at. 96" for the day.

14 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

It seems like the most significant flood potential focuses on the Susquehanna main-stem (and NE PA tributaries), especially in the Upper Sus Valley on into NE PA where that particular region has the trifecta of significant rainfall, the most significant existing snowpack, and a several hour period where warm temps via southerly flow punch up into eastern PA to further enhance a more rapid snow melt. Short range models like the NAM have been downright excessive with rain totals, and the next several hours this evening will reveal if that comes fully to fruition as radar trends look to be starting to focus the heavier rainfall rates into eastern PA along the Susquehanna. 

The other major tributaries coming from the central counties (West Branch and Juniata watersheds) look to have a significant rise but most point forecasts appear to stay below flood stage along those rivers. Temps in this part of C-PA are locked into the upper 30s-low 40s and as mentioned, heavier rainfall is starting to focus towards eastern PA. Appears that any surge in temps in the central probably comes close to/with the frontal passage as the stable b-layer gets mixed out. Lack of big time flooding coming from those two tributaries probably prevents the main stem from going full blown '96 repeat in lieu of a more minor-moderate flood event coming primarily from upstream in NE PA/southern NY. Definitely not ideal anyway you slice it, what an ugly Christmas Eve weather-wise. 

 

 

I've picked up .33" of rain in the past 20 minutes. She's dumping...

No offense to DT, but I don't understand his map. How can his "up to 1" line go up directly against his 3" line?

Shouldn't there be a 1-3" area somewhere in between?