Itstrainingtime

55 minutes ago, sauss06 said:

3/4" yesterday here in the village. 

.3" here, woke up this morning to a flood watch for later today and tonight. Was not expecting this, thought we were going to get a bit of light rain and drizzle tonight. Will it ever end?...

Thank goodness! After nearly 24 hours without rain, the heavens just unloaded here. I almost forgot what rain looked like. 

On 9/23/2018 at 12:30 PM, canderson said:

Today! Fall! Arrived!!! YESSSSSSSS.

According to Horst...notsofast.

Last Thursday I speculated that a pattern change might bring the arrival of a persistently cooler weather beginning around October 1st. Today, I'm putting that pattern change on hold for at least another week or so. Why? A massive blocking pattern has since developed in the eastern Pacific and ridging in the western Atlantic now looks to hold on into the opening days of October. The bottom line: It may take until October 7 - 14th for the pattern change to fully reach the Eastern US.

Today was the perfect fall weather football day...without football. 

32 minutes ago, Voyager said:

Outside of a rogue sprinkle or shower it looks like 2.69" is going to be my event final total.

That's 2.29" more than me. Why am I always fringed!?!?

1 hour ago, sauss06 said:

the humidity Sucks donkey balls

Saw the heat index at the Patriots-Jags game Sunday was 107. Can you imagine watching football in that?

1 hour ago, Voyager said:

2.19" as of 6:00AM...

Ha! Not even .5" here.

North-south oriented bands are firing around us and to our west now. Still think some surprises are in store...

Pouring out right now.

12 minutes ago, daxx said:

I don't need it over this way.  Roads and bridges are still closed over here.

True that...pretty much anywhere from east central York county through north central Lancaster county is EXTREMELY vulnerable to flash flooding...

4 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said:

Yeah exactly daxx, most will see few issues, some could see very high end issues..loaded gun atmosphere.

Someone other than Mt. Joy and Manheim, please...people need a break.

With convective activity comes surprises, Horst alluded to that this morning. While he's calling for general .75" - 2" totals he also notes that some areas could receive more. If any one area gets under multiple bands...

16 minutes ago, canderson said:

Looks like my gut instinct of not having Florence deliver us rain was very wrong. Monday and Tuesday look very wet across PA. 

Looks like the most falls from I-81 and west, though things could change.

17 minutes ago, Voyager said:

 

What we miss on is the exciting rains and events. Since the rainy season started on July 21st. many areas have had out and out deluges. We, on the other hand, were mostly on the moderate side. Duration, and not intensity is what got my location to where it is.

I'd rather an intense deluge than a long, drawn out, dismal event.

No I understand what your intent was and I couldn't pass up the opening you gave me to throw a little dig at you. How are you feeling? 

Speaking of drawn out dismal, I wonder if the fog/mist will ever leave?...

12 hours ago, Voyager said:

We usually miss. The planets and stars must have aligned just right tonight... 

Well if you have over 52" on the year them stars are aligning a lot...:)

17 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

He may be.  Looking at overnight blend and early am suggest a slightly more southerly track as only GEPS has come slightly north.  Surely not out of the woods but precip max is well south of our area and remains similar from yesterday.  The unfortunate part is that this really wants to just hang out until a frontal boundary looks to push it east mid next week.  So while we may further pad totals, the long duration should help to keep from major flooding concerns being realized IMO.

 

 

Fortunately for us, it does look less likely we see significant impacts up here. Unfortunately, our win is gonna be someone else's loss...

1 hour ago, sauss06 said:

I just have an uneasy feeling about this. 

Yep...I have this nagging feeling that we're getting a lot more than an inch or two...

Picked up just about 3.5" over the weekend. 

Company picnic today at Hersheypark...yeah, not so nice for an amusement park day. Remarkably, I think everyone who was there parked in the closest lot adjacent to the old arena. There were very, very few people milling about.

Susquehanna is supposed to reach 46' in Marietta by late Tuesday before leveling off. At that stage the LSV will be vulnerable to river flooding if Flo does pay us a visit. 

16 hours ago, daxx said:

I'm all rained out!  Send it north,south,east, or west. We have had so much rain this year, it almost feels abnormal when it's not raining. I'm ready for our first frost and freeze.

This!!! Enough already. Here's hoping Flo is one giant no-show. I feel sick for all the people around here that have lost so much from flooding this summer. Give them a break, please...

49 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

I dont remember that...But i'll take it!!

Happened between 4pm and 5pm, complete with lightning and thunder and of course zero to near-zero visibility. I was a senior in high school and lived vicariously through my old NOAA weather radio. 

Not a drop of rain here today. Can't say I missed it either. I'm sure we'll get our share this weekend. 

12 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

Saw at least 5”/hr in that Nov 2014 LES in Buffalo area. It’s unreal.


.

Saw 5" in 1 hour right here in Lancaster county  in 1983!

2 hours ago, TugHillMatt said:

Hey, all. This is "blackrock" whose hometown is Lancaster. Well, it is official....I have made the move from Michigan to Redfield, NY on the Tug. Much closer to family in PA again...so will be joining you guys during my travels home in the time to come. Looking forward to 300" snowfall winters!

 

That is awesome! Don't be too upset this winter when the LSV gets hit with a 30" blizzard. We'll send some cirrus up your way.

In all seriousness though, way to go for living out your dream. Can't wait to see and read your stories...

12 hours ago, Voyager said:

Just saw this. Thanks!

As for Florence, I'd think her high latitude is going to make things interesting. She's way north (23.4n vs <20n) of where she should be to be a legitimate threat. But if there's one thing we learned this past year or so is that what should happen (re-curve and a fish storm) may not be the actual end result. Still a long way out, but the WAR has been a major player this spring and summer, and she could just keep heading toward the coast under the right conditions.

My very best wishes go out to you!