Jump to content

The Iceman

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    12,274

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by The Iceman

  1. The Iceman
    Ray up in the NE forum posted his preliminary preliminary winter thoughts yesterday and from what I took from it, it's looking pretty no bueno for winter again this year in these parts. He does say things can certainly change in October, but early signals are pointing to a dud again down here. Not sure how we can manage worse than last year though(1.5")....Hoping my 20 mile move to the north will help me a bit in borderline events.
  2. The Iceman
    Shaping up to be the first fall in what feels like a decade that isn't going to be hot as hell up through mid October. Got down to 48F last night in Hopewell.
  3. The Iceman
    Looks like the flash flood watches should be extended into the lehigh valley and cut further south. Pretty clear how this event is shaping up and it's n and w of 95.
  4. The Iceman
    We got a squall near the end that brought the heaviest wind, I wish I saved the radar grab. It was like a severe thunderstorm for 20 mins. Then it passed and we got the backside winds but they weren't nearly as strong as that last squall. I want to say it remained in the 30-40 MPH range after the rain ended. It was a really tense 20 mins or so though and it really tore my area up.
  5. The Iceman
    My cousin went down to his place in Cape May and took this video at the height of the storm: https://www.instagram.com/p/CDgZyfSJN4q/?utm_source=ig_web_copy_link
  6. The Iceman
    Finished with 3.14" of rain in Hopewell. The real story though ended up being the wind. Multiple large trees down on my street. Power not expected back until August 9. Trenton recorded a 58 mph gust but I'd estimate we saw a bit higher than that. Looked more in the 70 mph range but I don't have my weather station set up yet at the new house so it will remain a mystery. Really great little storm that exceeded my expectations.
  7. The Iceman
    Mt Holly thinking the winds could overperform inland
  8. The Iceman
    12z Euro is the ideal track for heavy rain. Low tracks right through NJ, albeit as a tropical storm. Deluges the entire area though. Pretty evident ticks west continue across all guidance.
  9. The Iceman
    Very pleasant evening... perfect for the fire pit. Currently 70F with a dew point of 48F.
  10. The Iceman
    Thinking today will be the first 90 in many locations.
  11. The Iceman
    6z 3k NAM for later this evening... Round 3?
  12. The Iceman
    Very surprised the derecho was uneventful for you. Lots of damage across lower bucks county.
  13. The Iceman
    Can't wait to check my weather station when I get home to see what kind of wind gusts were recorded. 64 MPH reported about 5 miles to my south in Bristol.
  14. The Iceman
    The HRRR brings a round 2 complex through SE PA in the 23z-00z time frame. Doesn't look nearly as potent as what just came through though. Other meso's are more potent this evening but none of them had this morning's complex as organized as it became. I'm a bit skeptical that the atmosphere can recover in time for another round of severe. However, another round of heavy showers with a rumble or 2 doesn't seem out of the question this evening.
  15. The Iceman
    Peco reporting almost 250K outages already based out their outage map. Edit: Up to 320K+ on the last update.
  16. The Iceman
    Here at work in Trenton, sky got pitch black and we got some pretty decent wind gust. I would estimate in the 50 MPH range, will be interesting to see what the airport reports. All in all not too bad of a boomer and we still have power at the office. 95% chance it's out at my house lol
  17. The Iceman
    I went through and counted the filtered tornado reports on the spc website and I believe there are only 51 tornado reports nation wide so far this month. Has to be on pace for some kind of record? Can anyone chime in?
  18. The Iceman
  19. The Iceman
    did you see the wrf meso's? all have 95 frozen throughout. war of the globals vs meso's. I think this has good bust potential especially if mt holly sides with the globals.
  20. The Iceman
    HRRR continuing to show 95 all snow.
  21. The Iceman
    imo the rates shown dynamically cool the surface so even though it shows rain on the map, it's actually heavy wet snow or sleet.
  22. The Iceman
    we just got NAM'd for tonight into tomorrow
  23. The Iceman
    I had a feeling this one would sneak up even on SE PA. even the warmer models are only showing rain at 33-34. with the snowpack this morning, things could easily be a few degrees colder. good to see the mesos picking up on this.
  24. The Iceman
    Couldn't have said it better. Having met Ray before at the Eastern conferences and reading his posts for 10+ years now, I have zero doubt that his measurement was legit. He's as huge a weenie as any but seriously one of the best amateur mets on the entire board(along with yourself). I trust his measurement much more than any john q public report that stuck a ruler in the grass at the end of the storm and called it a day. Now if this total was coming from a certain mountain in Tolland, CT, I'd be skeptical ...
  25. The Iceman
    Seems like SW NH was one of the big losers yesterday. My uncle said he finished with 8" in Swanzey. Congrats to all that hit the 30" mark!
×
×
  • Create New...