The Iceman

Don't think bust is the right word but I will say the storm was officially a disappointment for my area and I'll just leave it at that. I said before the event that my baseline was a foot based on the calls of 12-18"+ by the nws (which was upped to 16-22" during the event). Absolutely zero mention of sleet in my forecast until it started sleeting. So with all the hype and hoopla, this one's a disappointment for here. We went in with a chance of historical and came out slightly above average. Less than a foot spread out over 3 days is a solid event but solid won't be remembered in a few years time and with the set up in place for this one, I was aiming higher than solid. Just my two cents.

Winds have definitely picked up in the last hour as well. Nothing crazy but first time it's been noticeable all storm.

Finally some good fluff in the last hour... last time going out tonight. Up to 10" now on the storm.. hopefully the snows being advertised tomorrow come to fruition and we can salvage this event(anything under a foot was a fail in my eyes). Hoping we get up to a foot but I'm always skeptical of light day time snows

I bet levittown finishes with a higher storm total than Hopewell as that weenie band stalls out over them. I don't think that's ever occurred in a miller B but I guess there's firsts for everything...

"Little bit further inland..." What's 100 mile further north among friends? There wasn't a single model that had the mix line anywhere above 195 in nj. And it went 75 miles north of 195. Massive bust in central jersey no beating around the bush.

It's all about expectations. If we had been forecasted 6-12" like originally progged 48 hours out then this storm would feel like a big win. But jacking up totals hours before the storm only to get the chain yanked feels like a loss. You really can't go all in on an event in these parts until the storm is occurring. I mean every 00z last night had 18+" every single model over my house and I'm sitting at half of that... what's the point of even looking at them when they are that off at 6 hours lead time.. not a single model even came close to this storm.. that really says something.

Anti snow forcefield in full effect. This effect seems to follow me no matter where I move...

Ugh I'm cursed today. First the sleet then stuck in this dry air. Can't that band just drift north a little bit! I'm honestly considering trekking down to my parents in levittown if this keeps up...

Sourlands just north of town. Right on the border of east amwell.

North of the borough, have almost 500 ft elevation as well. Definitely did better than just 5 miles down the road. We held on to snow late last night, didn't change over until this morning.

Picked up a little in intensity but still poor growth so not really accumulating quickly. Up to 9" storm total in Hopewell, NJ. I guess if I can get to a foot, it'll be an alright storm all things considered...

Finally snowing again..snow growth is awful though. Super fine flakes. Probably 1"/12 hour rates.

Lol sorry I don't trust anyone when they say it'll snow all day tomorrow. Same people that said this would be a bellringer this afternoon. 9 times out of ten it ends way earlier than progged as dry air is drawn in. Will prob be the case here. I'd expect it to taper off tonight.

Well looks like it's dry slot time lol another thing that wasn't modeled at all. Just an unbelievable bust here...

3-6" maybe on the back side? We know how notoriously fast things end though? I don't have high hopes either even up here. Getting harder and harder any more to have a classic snowstorm...

Every time there is a prolonged fetch off the ocean the sleet line shoots n and w. Happens every time around here, no matter if there is a huge high to the north or not. Usually there's a model that shows it though that we dismiss but not this time. I don't expect things to go back to snow around here until the pivot unfortunately. Hope I'm wrong..

Back to sleet in Hopewell. Still think we ll probably get a foot due the duration but the real big totals are going to be in the lehigh valley. I bet my area down through se pa doesn't flip until late afternoon. Going to waste a lot of qpf as sleet.

Back to all snow in Hopewell. Several measurements in the yard average around 8" out there. Getting tough to measure with blowing though. I still don't have a legit board here yet so take my measurements with an * for sure. Anyone else nearby can verify?

Back to mostly sleet in Hopewell. Dry air getting annoyingly close as well. If we don't change back soon, I'm heading north up 31.

I'm ripping snow now in Hopewell and that was mostly sleet about 45 mins ago. Should be changing over your way soon!

Ok log off and stop posting then if you think it's over. Thanks from literally every other board member in advance.

Seems like the height of the storm will be 18z - 00z tonight. There will still be periods of moderate even heavy before and after those times but that time period should be the heaviest. 6 hours of 1-2"+ hour rates!

Heaviest snow and the storm at the moment. Easy 1" a hour.

Sleet already changing back to parachutes here in Hopewell as the heavier banding begins to move in. Radar looks great for every one Philly North imo

Looks to be around 6 inches so far in Hopewell. Looking forward to the coastal and another possible 12+!