gymengineer

So is anyone else seeing Ji’s twitter presence showing up in curated streams being the absolutely worst version of himself? Like to the point of meriting no response but causing the person to waste time answering because of his trolling ability? But this time about COVID-19’s seriousness.

I am so sorry. Praying for you and your family, and especially for the two members who are still in the hospital. I hope that in being strong for your family, you will find chunks of time, private they may be, to grieve and mourn and memorialize. You are strong and brave to be thinking about your family's needs. I wish all of your family comfort and closeness even with physical separation.

https://governor.maryland.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/OLC-Interpretive-Guidance-COVID19-07.pdf See the second paragraph. Restaurants can continue to do carry-out/pickup. Non-essential businesses can no longer continue pickups.

For physics teachers, this is a great opportunity to apply physics to get your circle of influence to understand what’s going on. d vs t graph- derivative is v vs t. A constant v vs t means a linear d vs t graph. A constant non-zero a vs t graph means a linear v vs t and a curved d vs t graph. Once we have to introduce the concept of “jerk,” which will show as a changing a vs t graph, the ripples through the v vs t and d vs t graphs can be complicated to understand. US deaths represented by graph format is currently into “jerk” territory in terms of physics terms.

Here’s a COVID-19 tracking site that’s been pretty good in terms of matching the MD/DC/VA numbers, and other state numbers: https://coronavirus.1point3acres.com/en The most startling graphic is the one showing the continued exponential growth in deaths, because that figure is less sensitive to testing capacity (the most sick have had the greatest access to tests, other than VIPs apparently). When the dark blue death-per-day line itself starts showing non-linear growth like the last few days, that’s the sign that things are going not well at all.

Did you ever calculate what 3% or 1% or even 0.5% of 58 million was before posting?

My partner was able to go liquor shopping on Friday during the day while I was at the office for the last day until further notice. He picked up 7 liters of potato vodka, 3.5 liters of Tanqueray gin, 1.75 liters of Jameson whiskey, and restocked our Cointreau. That should tide us over for 3 weeks. We accidentally ordered 144 rolls of toilet paper by mail late last year so we are still all set in that department.

Well the big one that is legendary in that regard is 59/60. Snow season basically started with a storm on 2/13/60 and then three significant events in March For BWI: 8.2" 2/13-14/60; 0.5" 2/21/60; 2.0" 2/25/60; 10.5" 3/2-4/60; 5.9" 3/9-10/60; 5.1" 3/16/60. There were 12 snow cover days that March.

Once you add those totals in, you actually have 6 seasons above average, not 3.

It's not the 1960's, but having lived through the 1980's, 1990's, and 2000's and reviewed the stats on the 1970's, I would always prefer the past 10 snow seasons. Yes, it includes 09/10 to start. Then 13/14, 14/15, 15/16 were three very different ways to get to above average. The 2016 blizzard was the best single storm in my lifetime at my location. The 70's through the 00's had plenty of crap seasons for the three airports too, so nothing about 16/17 and 17/18 really phased me. If you can get through 75/76 or 80/81 or 88/89 or the 96/97-97/98 combo or 01/02 or 07/08 or multiple other horrid seasons without dying, then 16/17 or 17/18 are just part of the deal of being in this area. Probably the dividing line for looking at the past 10 seasons is last season. Of course the immediate DC area got in on the 10-12" storm, which the morning after still had the feel of "This was a big one."

I’ve always taken the long game as a DC area lifer and I’ve described both good and bleak stretches of DC area snow history. Newspapers did their Decade review heading into 2020 with the CWG opting to fold the 2010 part of 2009-2010 into their decade review So this is the simplest start of the review of the past 10 winters. I can break it down much more if people have questions. The past 10 snow seasons’ average: IAD: 27.2” (above average) DCA: 17.2” (above average) BWI: 24.1” (above average) Number of the past 10 snow seasons that were above average: IAD: 5 DCA: 5 BWI: 4 In other words, just wait and you’ll have a good snow year in our current snow regime.... in spite of any reactionary meltdown every week.

Thanks. Makes sense.

Folks, who is RevWarReenactor? A known troll or a new troll?

Pouring snowflakes here! Magical outside right now in North Bethesda.

You meant NAMasies for fantasies right? Even so, I think NAMasties captures the spirit of the model better.

10th highest water level in Annapolis today: https://mobile.twitter.com/rms5539/status/1183131064304308224

So what exactly is causing the moderate coastal flooding tonight across the Bay on nearly calm winds? *Never mind, found the explanation in the AFD. The elevated water from Dorian has shifted north up the Bay. The Annapolis forecast is no joke.

I’m following a curated meteorologist twitter list for Dorian. I’ve never seen meteorologists rage tweeting like right now.

0Z models do not show that so far. Don’t look at the snow maps— just look at precip total maps through 18Z tomorrow. The aim of the heaviest precip is not where you described.

It can’t be a bad sign heading into an even better pattern that the two serviceable windows this season have so efficiently given our subforum two 10”+ snowstorms. Richmond wasn’t locked in for their 11” heading into the event either. These are some juiced up storms.

Just came across this from Typhoon Jebi. The Hong Kong videos earlier this season got a lot of attention, but this stuff out of the Osaka area is pretty dramatic too. Kansai International Airport gusted to 130 mph and even the downtown business district of Osaka had a 106 mph gust.

Great to see. I've really appreciated your posts, particularly reminding the subforum that the past two winters weren't a 'disaster' for many parts of the lower Mid-Atlantic.

Drunk? lower case writing, weird non-factual phrasings, etc.

As its just south of Tokyo 24 HRS, VALID AT: 221800Z --- 34.1N 138.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY EXTRATROPICAL RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 215 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 180 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 445 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 410 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 340 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 395 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

For me, it would be a radar loop of Carol making landfall. Perhaps the most purely tropical hit of the famous New England storms?