KeithB

I can only take so much of these winter time rainstorms before I lose whatever little sanity I have left. To make it worse, it's every 3 or 4 days now

NYC 22 EWR 27 MMU 29 ISP 19 SWF 37

To me, he is the Michael Jordan of weather

looks pretty much the same as the previous run. No surprise

Euro is running...

I live in the NYC subforum. Only going to get 3 to 6 inches down my way. I ALMOST took an airbnb tonight thru Monday in Wayland MA specifically to be up there for the storm. I wound up not doing it as I hemmed and hawed. Anyway, I'll be living vicariously through you guys on this one. GL!

haha. Yes!!

I'll be by mid afternoon

Yea. Im in Rockland county, and it seems to me that I am probably going to fall in the 2 to 5 inch range. I would be pretty surprised to top that

I happen to understand the statistics and know the odds are hundreds of millions to 1. My point is, these storms involve emotions. 6 inches on any random day is also really unlikely. How many days in a year does one get 6 inches of snow?...but these situations, and potentials of those situations are what creates a feeling of happiness or feeling one missed out for many people

The thing is, the potential was really big. Maybe never that big for me (I'm in Rockland), but when the potential is large, there is a feeling of needing to get the fruition of it. There are only so many chances for 18+. I will give you an analogy. Let's say you play the Mega Millions and the jackpot is 200 million. You hit all 5 numbers, and now you are waiting on the 6th one where the number is anywhere from 1 to 25. You miss that one and wind up collecting 7k. You cannot say to that guy or gal, " what's wrong with you, 7k makes you sad"? Once 200 million was in play, yes, 7k makes one sad. Now, apply that to these snowstorms. In a vacuum 6 inches is great, but, a lot depends on the potential and what that is/was.

Sorry to hear this. I hope he helps bring an amazing snowfall to you!!!

I don't know what you guys think of Bernie Rayno, but his predictions have seemed pretty solid to me. He has a 16 minute pinned tweet on this storm, and I think he describes the situation pretty well.

I would give A LOT for a 75 mile west move. A LOT!

Yes. We root for as many inches/feet as possible,....and then worry about the collateral damage later! GOGOGO

I think a major part of these snowstorms to people like us, is the unknown as to what you are going to get. I love the snow, but there is also a major component regarding the unknown amount and how it plays out. I think if weather technology ever got so great where you could enter your zip code within 5 days of an event and it told you how much snow you would get to the tenth of an inch, most of the fun and excitement would be gone. It's not just about the snow, it's probably mostly about the ride.

Not for me

I actually have driven to Albany for a snowstorm ( a few years ago) that I couldn't deal with missing as we were going to turn to rain (and that's the most painful), and another time I drove to North Conway NH for a Biggie. I got a hotel, and took 2 snowshoe hikes on the trails just off the Kancamagus Highway. I highly recommend it if anyone ever has the chance!

100% agree. Anyone who says the snow threat is dead and it has no chance is a fool. Does it look good, no. But, if you take the average model guidance, and shift it say 75 to 100 miles west, there would still be a major event. Averaged guidance 84 hours out is off by that amount or more a pretty reasonable % of the time. Maybe 15%? I can't say what the exact % is, but it is nowhere in the vicinity of 0%. We have just recently had a storm that moved that distance west from 84 hour guidance. So it's far from impossible. So to say there is no chance is just people doing their usual pessimistic bs, or this is their first rodeo and do not understand how these storms go/ can go

Fair enough. Let's have favorable 0z runs!!

I think the move was minimal. Not too different from the 12z gfs

Fantastic run!! 12+ for most everyone

3.8 inches in Pomona and still all snow. Falling moderately

Yes. Same exact thing in Pomona. I just measured 3.0 exact and snowing moderately

Exactly 2 inches and still snowing in Rockland County