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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Yeah it's definitely been a major dud. Possibly least snowy of all time! Happy it's almost behind us.
  2. EastonSN+
    This is the track needed for LI and NYC. This storm does it north and over land. Obviously just showing track 1888 was wayyyyyyy more intense.
  3. EastonSN+
    What stinks is if this deepened stalled and looped like 1888, 1978 this would have been 15 plus for CPK and LI. It all happens too late
  4. EastonSN+
    Nope since 2015 we expect it.
  5. EastonSN+
    NYC, LI and coastal NJ will be tough, however like you mentioned intensifying a bit further south and closer and the aforementioned locations can get accumulating snow. Massive massive potential for 84.
  6. EastonSN+
    Somehow it still crushes SE Mass with over a foot.
  7. EastonSN+
    Wow 9 to 15 for us south CT coasties!
  8. EastonSN+
  9. EastonSN+
    Seems like the EURO has a much larger precip shield. GFS is tight
  10. EastonSN+
    Lol. Figured it had to show this sooner or later.
  11. EastonSN+
    But, if the modeling moves east, won't the western crowd now bail?
  12. EastonSN+
    Congrats highlands
  13. EastonSN+
    GFS seems to be moving the low along a lot faster too (maybe a later capture).
  14. EastonSN+
    That's cause January acted like an El Nino. The December and February (with the latest storms and records) was a west displaced la Nina trough. It just happens that California went from one pattern to another that hit them hard. Like in 95/96 where each pattern alternation we went into happened to work out for us. The same is happening this year for them.
  15. EastonSN+
    El Nino looks like this. It's a positive PNA undercut by a strong PAC. A la Nina is the opposite with a trough.
  16. EastonSN+
    That was January only. December February and March had a deep trough over California allowing the storms to move South and the cold air to drain. Please take a look.
  17. EastonSN+
    Take a look at the trough positioning. You will see why California had all this precipitation. It's still a west coast trough displaced west of the Rockies. That is la Nina.
  18. EastonSN+
    Ugh you are incorrect. This was a record west coast trough and a strongly coupled La Nina. We do not snow in March in strong la Ninas. We love El Ninos, but a strong El Nino like 97/98 we had perfect benchmark tracks and they all failed as it was too strong. Same here with the la Nina. You are broad brushing Nina's which is 100% incorrect. Yes we snow in March in a weaker Nina. This year was historic.
  19. EastonSN+
    Not in mid March this year and with this type of la Nina year.
  20. EastonSN+
    Trend from yesterday on the EURO is to capture later. Can't get any later.
  21. EastonSN+
    US WOR needed that violent tug!
  22. EastonSN+
    Ha you would too if your season snowfall total was 6.6 inches.
  23. EastonSN+
    If climate change had such a great effect that it would cause these storms to fail (even though they did not fail in 2018 or 2019), then you would see it across the us not just the northeast. You would not see flakes on the beach of Cali anymore. I don't want to go down the CC path as people are passionate about it and a lot of the time to fuel their own agendas. It is getting warmer overall but it's not that drastic yet.
  24. EastonSN+
    I honestly do not think climate change had much to do with it. West coast continuous troughing all year kept all the cold that way. This would have failed in 1925.
  25. EastonSN+
    Yeah you are correct was a good winter in a 5 year terrible stretch. I think this will be North and west of March 2001. Capture later and west of that one.
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