EastonSN+
-
Posts
7,917 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by EastonSN+
-
How much it show for area?
-
Don and Bluewave are better placed to discuss the long range. I am a mere hobbyist
-
The positive EPO is showing up here with a negative PNA. However, not the worst pattern we have seen as the NAO heads to almost neutral and the AO heads to slightly below neutral. Cold air would be lacking however if we can get a storm to cut underneath and strengthen like the last storm, with it being later in the year perhaps a bit of a better result.
-
Agreed for city and se burbs. NW as always can squeeze an extra inch or two. As long as it's an inch or so it's gravy, keep stacking the small accumulations to get us a bit closer to average.
-
Agreed. Honestly we did well so far with the accumulation from the last storm, so I feel lucky in a lot of respects given the way the teleconnections look moving forward. Obviously areas north of us got clobbered, but then again the MA is still looking for their first heading into this period! You had this month pegged the whole time. Thanks for the continued insight!
-
Your right looks bad now.
-
Not a bad look if it holds:
-
Decembah to remembah replaced with facked till Feb
-
Agreed. Hopefully if GFS is right it's at that low amplification.
-
My poor gutters. Let's keep chipping away at the snow average inch by inch.
-
Yeah it's not cool at all. However firmly believe this will not be as bad as last year following the approx 2 bad week period.
-
Huge gradient last year it seems. In SW Coastal CT we had 22, 8 below the 30 to 35 average range.
-
The mild up time would be when the EPO goes positive and PNA goes negative. If the below is correct.
-
Haha. I remember the discussion last year about November snows killing winter. Worked for us in 2002 and 1995 and 2012. Worked against us in 1989 2011 and last year.
-
Don't get me wrong. I think we mild up for a couple weeks, however not lose 3 months like last year.
-
Another positive. MJO is staying in better phases longer and bad phases in lower amplification.
-
Honestly I feel much better about this winter as compared to last due to appearance of an NAO and AO in the negative phases. Also the negative EpO is fairly static. Not expecting an epic winter like 2013 2014, however this winter is already looking better than last. I think an average snowfall winter is in store. Last year was relatively close to average.
-
2013 2014 was the polar vortex attack. 2014 2015 was the winter that started in mid January, had the blizzard debacle where EURO showed 36 and we got 6 to 12 and we all had an epic March.
-
I think there was a huge gradient from SE to nw. In SW Coastal CT it was the 3rd snowiest winter of the 2000s. Only one storm changed over to rain and still dropped 13.5 inches of snow. Think that storm was Jan.
-
Even if it DID go into the bad phases, we have scored many times in horrible patterns like the Feb 18 storm. This year we have seen a pre March negative NAO, an MJO that slows in the good phases and an Arctic outbreak in Nov (which seems annual). All good things. 2.5 inches from last storm. Feel somewhat good about this winter being average to slightly above average snowfall.
-
I would sign up for either in a heartbeat. Amazing the difference in a small area. 2013 2014 was the 2nd snowiest winter in SW CT of the 2000s
-
Observations of snow, sleet, freezing rain Sun-Tue Dec 1-2-early 3
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I think Bridgeport beat Fairfield for the first time with 2.0 on both sides of the storm. 2 overnight and .5 for the first part for 2.5 in Easton. Was your 1.5 just for last night or entire storm. -
Observations of snow, sleet, freezing rain Sun-Tue Dec 1-2-early 3
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
2.0 new. 2.5 on the storm. -
2.0 last night. 2.5 for the storm.
