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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Seems like the super Nino flipped the switch. Do you think the 97/98 super Nino did the same in ushering in the snowy 2000/2010s? Or perhaps another event?
  2. EastonSN+
    If we did not have so much rain in 97 98, I feel that it would have also been at the top. Although hard to get this level of sunshine in a strong Nino.
  3. EastonSN+
    I think this is the year to do it. We have a perfect setup. Triple dip la Nina creating a deep/static trough out west and the late/potentially not till spring change to Blocking in the arctic. My gut says the cold push gets delayed a few days and the record is ours. Really shows how everything has to lineup right to break records. If that cold push happened a few days earlier we lose the record. Timing is everything as they say.
  4. EastonSN+
    I agree. However, and this is a question, wouldn't the shorter wavelengths lessen the impact of the RNA as we head to late February and March?
  5. EastonSN+
    Gonna be a real close call for temps to beat out 02 and 32 with the cooler temps expected next week. I hope we can break the record but may be a nail biter at the end.
  6. EastonSN+
    Except the west. Incredible winter out there with snow in Vegas and Tuscan. Ridge here trough there. Records warmth here opposite there. 1990s style!
  7. EastonSN+
    Ha 100%. I think the young ones are getting exposure to what we experienced in the early 90s! Only way this would be nicer is if it was the weekend.
  8. EastonSN+
    We get the good weather during our usual nasty weather month, while the usually warm SW gets our snow!
  9. EastonSN+
    You just described 97/98. Just a freak post 3/15 event.
  10. EastonSN+
    Hey Don, to Liberty's post, how many times have we had little to no December snowfall followed by January and February shut outs? Off the top of my head 89/90 comes to mind. Maybe 91/92 however we ended up with 2 March snowstorms.
  11. EastonSN+
    You cannot look at mileage in this instance. The third wave was essentially eliminated as a result of the strength of the 2nd low. Lesses the strength and the third wave hits us. Maybe as much as December 2000. BROOKLYNWX - am I off here?
  12. EastonSN+
    They are not just talking about their region, they were discussing the entire SE ridge setup/catalyst.
  13. EastonSN+
    Go back and review December. If that second storm was less intense, the third wave, which at times the models showed a major hit, would have clicked us. The warm waters did not do anything to energize or make the 3rd wave a cutter. I am taking your response above as the red taggers Mets in the NE forum have no idea what they are talking about. Are you a MET? You understand more than them.?
  14. EastonSN+
    No. They are not saying Only New England was unlucky. They spoke of the entire setup. They are not saying luck only applies to New England.
  15. EastonSN+
    We are still behind 01/02 on temps so not historic yet. Plus the snowfall that season could easily be passed with a lucky setup this month.
  16. EastonSN+
    I disagree. If the second storm was not intense we could have had a 6 plus event easily. Then the whole historic discussion is gone. If you want to debate it. Raise it to the NE Mets who are 100% on the luck side. And no, they are not saying only New England was unlucky while CC was the reason for anyone outside of NE.
  17. EastonSN+
    I think Bluewave had a good post earlier showing SSWEs following low snowfall seasons. One thing to be cautious of when looking at the stats, and depending on ones point of view (seems to be split amongst the METS across the forums) is whether or not December was a true failure due to the pattern never really being "good", or "bad luck" where the second storm was so intense it essentially killed the third wave which had the most potential. Think December 2000, what if that storm was a few miles east? Then that blocking period would have been a complete failure, and this past Decembers failure would not have been as "shocking". So, long story short, it will all come down to how negative the RNA is vs. 1. The strength of the Blocking and just as important, 2. The LOCATION of the Blocking (same really could be said about the position of the RNA). NOBODY knows what will happen. We just have to let it play out. Hard to bet against the RNA in a Nina like this, but as we all know RNA is not as detrimental as it is December and January. As for low snowfall records, 97/98 was only saved by a fluke late season late March event. Please keep that in mind when ingesting and analyzing this season. The only difference so far is a late March fluke, which can happen in any season. If that fluke did not happen, then this is not historic, just a repeat.
  18. EastonSN+
    Vegas more snow than DC. Lol.
  19. EastonSN+
    What a year
  20. EastonSN+
    That Winter was so amazing that although we missed out on the bullseye on so many storms, we still ended up with way above average snowfall totals WOR!
  21. EastonSN+
    There goes our spring (no surprise).
  22. EastonSN+
    Yeah this will come down to getting into phase 8 or not.
  23. EastonSN+
    Just another point of view from the NE forum. Like to look at all sides.
  24. EastonSN+
    Yeah after 17/18 (and of course the above average snowfall of 20/21) we have been in a rough stretch. I firmly believe the PAC will change at some point. Until then we will need to get above average snowfall the way of 20/21.
  25. EastonSN+
    One thing I do like about the GFS is it seems to capture the heat island effect. Check out DC below. This is the positive snow depth change.
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