I have looked at this phenomenon a lot, seems that if you are directly north of the LP there is a tendency for dry slotting after the fronto passes.
Perhaps the METS can opine with the actual specifics.
What are your thoughts on the potential arctic outbreak.
GEFS seems less enthusiastic (looks like more spread rather than a completely different look)
Do you know which suite scored better so far?
GEPS seems to be more in the middle, so potentially best way to go until the ensembles line up.
Really only 18/19, 19/20 and 21/22 where below average. 15/16 was average thanks to the blizzard.
14/15, 16/17, 17/18 and 20/21 were all above average!
So your record is a respectable 4-3-1!
Yeah, here in SW CT we have experienced 3 out of 4 below average snowfall winters last 4 years (2020/2021 was great).
We can't complain here though, only 7 below average snowfall seasons this entire century in SW CT!