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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
  2. Rd9108
    And before I head out for the day and step away from these models. We have the 12z euro. We should move to VA
  3. Rd9108
    I'd probably be done tracking this year and maybe next year.
  4. Rd9108
    Energy dying as it enters Western Pa and then the coastal is too far to the east to affect us. We literally need perfect set ups to score big. Whereas the coast can sneeze and as long as it's cold they can get a big storm.
  5. Rd9108
    I'm already looking past this storm for the next one. Although today's storm might have some surprises left especially for those that are gonna get hit by the coastal.
  6. Rd9108
    We're due, those are facts considering our averages. This wait is just gonna make the next big one where its heavy snow here and heavy rain in I95 that much sweeter. Looking at the 06z gefs there was some heavy hitters for the next storm. Still a long way out but it looks like we may finally have true winter storms to track. If I was a betting man I'd say the next one is a nice Youngstown special.
  7. Rd9108
    It's not much but it looks like the models are either not weakening the energy as fast or the precip is higher but the amounts ticked up slightly. But maybe that's all we need to sneak 3 or 4 inches. The next storm period looks more interesting as of now. It feels good to be tracking again.
  8. Rd9108
    So did the gfs but that confluence just shears that thing apart. Im hoping it's over modeled and the precip is slightly under modeled.
  9. Rd9108
    I think 2-4 is not out of the question but that damn confluence is killing a 5-8 storm. It just dies out as it comes east.
  10. Rd9108
  11. Rd9108
    I'd say this would be a 3-6 storm if we account for ratios
  12. Rd9108
    Yeah definitely looks alot further north than previous run. I want to see what qpf and snowfall equate to.
  13. Rd9108
    At this point like I said I'd take a 2-4 event. We know we dont do big storms well but it would be nice to get a nice warning event here. I'm praying the NAM is right and the GFS is off its rocker.
  14. Rd9108
    Funny how when the models look into a slider that they dont budge. Yet when it's a perfect track for us we get screwed. The south is gonna triple or quadruple us snowfall wise this year.
  15. Rd9108
    It is the NAM but woof does it look good it this juncture.
  16. Rd9108
    NAM at 84 looks extremely promising.
  17. Rd9108
    If I was a betting man I'd put a lot of money on a fringe job. Still a lot of time with this one but no reason to get too invested with this yet.
  18. Rd9108
    That's the euro. I'd take that at this point.
  19. Rd9108
    It cracks me up how spoiled other forum posters are. They freak out whenever they miss out on a big storm every year. Yet they are probably getting more big storms than their average. Also at this point I'd take a decent 3-5 storm. I cant deal with this rain anymore its depressing.
  20. Rd9108
    I almost dont even wanna get invested in this even though it looks like it has the ingredients to be huge. We all know this will fringe us if it's a monster.
  21. Rd9108
    GFS has a monster too it's just a little too far south.
  22. Rd9108
    CMC keeps showing a weird inland runner. It's over a week out though. The signal is there for atleast a storm in that time period. We may finally have something to track.
  23. Rd9108
    Euro just showed a monster storm for east long island and New England. This is looking good as far as the models finally catching on to a pattern change. I can imagine the gfs will start to catch on soon and we will start having atleast white storms to track. WAKE UP ITS COMING!!!!!
  24. Rd9108
    Possible light at the end of the tunnel for atleast maybe salvaging the end of January.
  25. Rd9108
    Yikes you know it's bad whenever JB who usually hypes up cold as much as possible is getting worried. Honestly one big blizzard would wipe away a horrible winter but right now its hard enough to get snowflakes in the air. It's just funny because everytime in the long range i does look promising. Then everytime we get closer it just gets progressively worse.
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