Rd9108

Thanks MAG always appreciate a professional's oppinion. Hoping for an overachiever

Yeah I feel like its overdone but let's just see what the hi rez models do now because the global's are useless at this range. I would love for those rates to verify. We don't usually get to see those kind of rates so even as progress as this system is it would atleast be interesting.

Yea it does look like most guidance has the heaviest band just too the east of the metro. Hopefully that is wrong and we get the heavy bands. I'd set my expectations low and and hope for a bust. I'm thinking this is more 2 or 3 than 4-6. With those heavy bands anything can happen. It will just be nice to not to able to see the grass for a change.

EURO still looks good but the heaviest band is just too the east. It's close to an overachiever but we may just miss out on the heaviest rates.

And finally before I actually do something productive. The UKmet

Hi rez HRDPS has an insane band come close the metro

GFS has us at 4 inches. I wouldn't be mad at that to be honest.

RGEM has a pretty stout band of heavy snow that comes close to the metro. This could be an interesting storm. Maybe at the least we get to see some serious rates for a short time.

6z Rgem also looks good for 2-4 maybe 5 but it looks more like the NAM atleast.

6Z NAM looks better than the 0z.

Nope that's us getting excited for 2 runs and then reality smacking us in the face. I'm hoping that it's just the NAM being over amped but man would that suck to miss that way.

NAM further NW and jackpots the usual Youngstown area.

Gfs is not our friend.

Actually after looking at the hi rez NAM that's a 913 low. Gonna have to say that's wrong.

I'm actually intrigued for once. Who knows maybe we get a positive trend for a change. We have been screwed so much that eventually we are due.

NAM came in hot atleast the 10:1 maps but that heavy precip would come in heavy and drop some impressive rates. Hey maybe we get to atleast see the rates that we have been dying to see. Hours of light/moderate snow just doesnt do it for me as much. That's why I would love to see a repeat 94. The rates in that storm were insane.

That would be a our biggest storm of the year. I would definitely take that. Maybe we get lucky and it amplifies faster and we somehow get 4-6.

Long range NAMs look fantastic too bad it's the NAM. Maybe it can score a coupe.

This thread needs bumped. **** this winter. No signs of any possible pattern to even give us a big storm.

This is what we need. Not a super complex set up but we got 10 inches from this two years ago.

Euro is atleast interesting with multiple wave scenario. Maybe we can push the boundary far enough south and get in the action.

The ensembles show hope but the operationals show despair and cutter after cutter. The way the winter is going I'm gonna have to side with the cutter scenerio. Couple that with the a raging AO and this feburary already looks toast for any sustained winter weather. Maybe we get lucky and time something but even then I don't think it would hang around long. At this point I'd rather the end of February just torch and winter end. We can reset next year and hopefully have a snowy December. I can't remember the last time we had a prolonged winter in December.

The GEFS show some signs of hope for the long range.

I know we all want that big daddy storm but I'd honestly be content with a 3-6 type storm at this point.

From my untrained eye the only way we will get an advisory level snow from this next system is a potent northern stream. An amped up runner seems out of the question at this time. Need to some big changes if that's gonna happen.