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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Cranky is not a real met. Not saying hes wrong because some NWS branches did mention it.
  2. Rd9108
    I'm on it.
  3. Rd9108
  4. Rd9108
  5. Rd9108
    This is so close to my area. This is about the closest to a now casting event I have seen. Pitt could get all rain or a foot. Goodluck to your area, this has our board on pins and needles.
  6. Rd9108
    My thoughts. Yes it bumped north but the 12z runs have been doing that everyday. Hopefully the NAM stays where it's at or bumps south and we can have some wiggle room. We just know the history of our area and how the warm air surge is usually under modeled.
  7. Rd9108
    No you dont. What screws us helps you guys.
  8. Rd9108
    Always overamped but I still think the city on south mixes unfortunately.
  9. Rd9108
    Yeah that's what I'm saying. Just looking at the mix line and the temps it stays all snow. Unfortunately the warm tongue often likes to punch higher than the models show.
  10. Rd9108
    Are we looking at the same NAM???
  11. Rd9108
    3k totals. So close. Gonna be rough watching the mix line.
  12. Rd9108
    Pretty consistent but man is it too close for comfort.
  13. Rd9108
    That's all I needed to hear before I fell asleep.
  14. Rd9108
    Idt it can possibly get better than the 3k NAM in this set up.
  15. Rd9108
    3k is weenie porn for us
  16. Rd9108
    RPM also colder and snow. Sampling makes a difference. That's a huge shift by the NAM
  17. Rd9108
    One more tick north and we are ****ed. Looks like it's just converging onto the general idea of ****ing us. Oh well, we should be used to it by now.
  18. Rd9108
    This one.
  19. Rd9108
    The question is, is it too amped. If it is then we are in a good spot.
  20. Rd9108
    Nam is even worse.
  21. Rd9108
    Euro isnt backing down.
  22. Rd9108
    basically what we deal with usually.
  23. Rd9108
    Pittsburgh literally experiences the warm tongue on almost any event. I'm rooting for you guys in southern and central Ohio because this more and more likely looking like a Youngstown special.
  24. Rd9108
    Ukie a little north I'm hoping it's just an over correction. Still gives the metro on north a huge thump but it cant bump north anymore. I'm hoping with sampling models are just overcorrecting. Euro cant come north anymore.
  25. Rd9108
    Only hope and I mean the only hope is these models are off by a bit. Let's be honest they can only do so much when it comes to little details and in this situation 50 miles, 1 hour slower, 1 hour faster, quicker transfer. Any of these small factors can change us from cold rain to heavy snow like that. I'm definitely pessimistic and I'm leaning 80% rain/mix but I can see how the models bust in our favor. They aren't perfect and even the storm last week didnt have DC getting the 12 inches they got.
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