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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Appears the lake connection is disorganized and most of the heavier bands will remain north of the city. Still a great winter day regardless.
  2. Rgem is north. Icon south. Rgem and 3k NAM look good. Would really like for the Euro to get on board and for the gfs to hold steady/improve.
  3. It didn't go south that's all that matters. See if the gfs improves/holds steady.
  4. Yep close enough that nowcasting could be different. Hopefully we get more than our biggest last year at 3ish.
  5. Close enough to keep an eye on. Not expecting a huge changem
  6. Canadian is around 5. I'll be back later for the Euro to jackpot Richmond.
  7. NAM keeps us close to stay invested but still south. The vort needs to be stronger to fight the confluence. Right now once the vort gets to PA it gets shredded. Apparently the vort will be sampled this evening/tonight officially.
  8. Just being overdramatic tbh. We've seen enough wild swings with less than 48 to go before.
  9. Yikes euro is barely an inch and it's drier. This one might be over. Only the NAM gives us the goods. Those damn midatlantic weenies win again!
  10. Lmao of course the euro goes south. Can't make it up. It's been very steady on being further south. Oh well still time and we still have snow tomorrow.
  11. Cmc gives my area a foot as well. Let's just shake on it now and everybody is happy.
  12. Cmc isn't as amped. I kind of like where we sit. Not necessarily for the bullseye but for atleast a warning event. Something we haven't had in awhile. Time for bed. Won't be up for the euro unless we get a call in the middle of the night.
  13. Lmao the gfs sends the mix line right into the area. Let's see what the euro does.
  14. The fact that I'll be at work Monday makes me believe it will overperform and I'll be dealing with accidents and shoveling out hydrants all day.
  15. Somehow the euro has been pretty rock steady. Can't rule out a move north but looks like PA border is where the heaviest will set up.
  16. Euro hasn't budged which is quite amazing. Has us with around 6 which is solid but amazing how steady it's been for the most part. On to the 0z!
  17. Just saw that. Funny how we go from worrying about suppression to too warm. I figured this would come back north so not surprised. It's only one run and few days away.
  18. HRRR shows around 3 and then who knows with lake effect. Regardless it looks like we will start building a snow pack.
  19. Agreed it's a fine line. The closer the heaviest precip the closer the mix line. Just seems like with this being so southern jet stream dominated that WAA may be under modeled, and the storm winds up slightly north of the models.
  20. First winter weather advisory of the year! Maybe we can get a warning on Monday. Latest euro looks pretty solid with room to improve if the precip busts low or the max is further north than modeled.
  21. Euro is painfully close but misses to the south. Still time for it to come north but right now our area minus a few posters are on the fringe. Let's see what today shows.
  22. Just saw that before I'm headed to bed. Look at the kuchera with ratios. This would shut down the city. Gfs is trending slowly toward the other models buts it's still south of most guidance.
  23. Latest trends look good. Not to mention a possible 1-3 Friday. We are now fully in Winter mode. I expect our thread will start to get active in the coming days.
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