The divergence between the NAM and HRRR at such short leads would be fascinating if the disagreement was not centered over our homes...
I feel like this is NAM payback for that euro/gfs/nam meme...
30/21 here in Balt City and
27/20 for my target Emmitsburg tomorrow.
At least stepping outside with the pup just now it "feels" like snow ahead of things for a change. Usually sweating getting the last few degrees down to 32 here - so being cold enough at start would be nice.
Emmitsburg 37/24 - still looking good for 8+. Driving up in the morning - gonna find me a snowstorm. Given January 2019 relative disappointment around Balt - will be my first legit snow event since Jan 2016. Also, BBQ.
All the crappy snow maps in the last few pages of the thread - maybe someone throw up the GFS life preserver snow map? Mobile and can't see it right now.
If this NAM is right Emmitsburg is not far enough for me to go. May just cancel and stay home, chasing to central PA not an option technically during PA's covid restrictions.
3-6 of snow and ice around rain is 3-6 times the snow and Ice I saw last year, so big picture that’s a major win if the WAA piece works out. Better, it happens early enough to get out in it and enjoy it.
easier to accept seeing this has become such a central PA favored storm. Just hoping we can hold the line here.
He is being deliberately obtuse - we have had medium and long range threads for YEARS and anyone who wanders into one sees discussion, some serious, much not, over things that are phantoms. He knows this.