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About WxMatt21

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
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  • Location:
    Fort Wayne, IN

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  1. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Yup. I just don't care unless we're at least 3 days out. I think I get especially bitter because local socialmediarologists will share raw maps days leading up to an event, and then people ultimately blame US, the media, for a busted forecast we never gave. Gets old after the first one!
  2. Seattle weather is misunderstood, I think Born and raised in the Seattle area (abt 20 years). It was always kind of a drag from about mid October-April, but it was not uncommon to see wicked windstorms, impressive heavy rain events, snowstorms of 6" or greater with fat snowflakes and decent mid-winter thaws (60s above the inversion) in an average fall/winter. May-September though? Almost every day features clear blue skies, highs in the upper 70s to near 80 with very low humidity. Summer in Seattle is like no other, and it is not uncommon to go MONTHS with zero rain. Missing that climo right now!
  3. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Let's just say, if this Euro run were a person on Tinder, it'd be a hard swipe to the left...
  4. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    The weeping, wailing and gnashing of teeth came out in full force this evening. You would almost swear the big day was tomorrow and we didn't have two more full days of model data and flip flopping to stress over!
  5. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    The area between Evansville and Detroit gets hammered with more than a foot (in some cases down near central Indiana well over a foot) of snow per the 12z Euro. Not a bad run for much of Indiana and NW Ohio, but boy what a huge leap east...
  6. January 11-13 Winter Storm

    Actually almost identical to the 12z CMC, but not nearly as dismal as the 12z GFS.
  7. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    I mean, I'd rather have models grasping at SOMETHING widespread instead of the moisture-starved clippers we seemed to hit or miss the past couple of weeks
  8. December 24-25 Snow Potential

    The 12z and 00z Euro are not exactly worlds apart, but the 12z definitely favors E/Central IN through OH for a nice couple inches of Christmas snow 00z Euro: 12z Euro:
  9. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    The past few days of model riding is a good reminder why it is best not to get too excited about a particular feature until it's within at least 72 hours. In my weather department, we have a "48 hour" rule when it comes to making snow maps. Of course, even when things look good at 48 hours, it doesn't take much for things to take a stomach-churning wrong turn at the last minute.
  10. December 21st-23rd Winter Storm

    Yes, the Canadian has been in its own little world, bless its heart, but to its credit it did pick up on details early on that the GFS and Euro hadn't quite accepted. Now that we have the NAM and GFS in general agreement, though, I'm less concerned about the Canadian being out in left field than the Euro.
  11. December 21st-23rd Winter Storm

    Yeah, the way this thing is trending, could get several inches across much of S. Michigan, with hope for some sticking snow very much alive for N. Indiana/NW Ohio.
  12. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Another plus is that it isn't a new idea. Just need to see some consistency, which unfortunately few, if any, of the models are providing at the moment.
  13. December 21st-23rd Winter Storm

    The GEM verbatim would make most in the subforum happy, I think. Still hanging onto the idea of a little Xmas Eve/Xmas Day snow. The 00z GFS isn't amazing, but it would bring at least some mood lake effect flakes to the table on the big day.
  14. Winter 2017-18 Medium/Long Range Disco

    Yeah, you might want to get that checked out! lol
  15. 2017-18 LES Season

    This is what I came up with! *Crosses fingers*