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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    All 3 global ensembles continue to advertise the pattern change beginning on the 12th/13th & continuing to improve through the end of their 15 or 16 day runs. Here are the 5 day ensemble means.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the second chance on the 6z GFS a couple of days later on the 15th. Happy Friday!
  3. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS has 2 chances for us to score snow during the pattern transition week. Here is the first chance this run on the 13th.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Yes indeed & still 2 months to score.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    The ensembles are locking in on this pattern change being real & hopefully they deliver snowy ground truth from mid month onward.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, This is obviously a Miller B on the Op. You had responded to my post on the ensembles look at hour 294 with your comment on the Op run, hence the confusion.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GEFS is only out to hour 348 on WB right now….but it has clearly continued to develop into a great look a few days after the 294 hour maps posted above.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the end of the EPS at hour 360 & the Canadian ensemble at hour 384….the good looks have developed into very good looks…
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The main point of my post is that ALL 3 ensembles show the pattern changing UNDER 300 hours- no more extrapolating 384 maps & extended ensemble products. This is the BEGINNING of the the pattern change at hour 294……….
  10. Blizzard of 93
    The better looks are now beginning at under 300 hours by the 13th on all 3 global ensembles.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The better looks are now beginning at under 300 hours by the 13th on all 3 global ensembles.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    6z GFS says Happy Valentine’s Day to CTP.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    We are going to more than make up for this lost time. Many Winters that we remember as good seasons had long breaks in the action in peak climo.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Great post! It has been good to see the SOI finally tank this week. The MJO is heading towards the favorable phases. Everything is lining up for a potential great run from mid February to at least early March. I agree, patience will be needed, but it’s good to see no can kicking on the ensembles for the last few days. I also like the agreement between all 3 global ensembles on the great looking pattern once we get to around the 13th & beyond.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z global ensembles all continue the good pattern change by the 13th/14th.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    I’m resting up for what lies ahead… The ensembles today are loading up with potential for mid February.
  17. Blizzard of 93
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, I’m not posting the snow map, but I’ll post the general map the GFS shows. This GFS run certainly made my lunch break much better. The upcoming pattern should produce storms & rumors of storms from around the 13th & beyond.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    All 3 ensembles now have the pattern change well underway by February 14th.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    This storm is literally throwing the models into loops.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    If this 18z GEFS look is legit…
  22. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z EPS is on board with the party starting on the 13th at the end of its 15 day run & the Canadian ensemble is on board as well with the good look as well. Better tracking days should be ahead.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GEFS is really ready to party beginning by the 14th.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    6z GEFS kicks the trough out of the SW & 0z Canadian ensemble has the trough fully in the east by day 16. Both have decent ridging on the west coast up into Alaska.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Why am I looking forward to the NAM to track this mid week clipper for a chance at a dusting to an inch? Sick hobby… lol!
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