The 0z Canadian tonight also continues to adjust south.
Check out the difference between 0z tonight & 0z last night.
Top-0z last night with a low near Erie
Bottom-0z tonight with a low in NC
Yes indeed!
The Initial low dies in southern WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa while rapidly strengthening into the 980s. Then it exits northeast.
Hopefully 0z tonight or 12z tomorrow brings some convergence between the models.
It was good to see the Euro & EPS step towards the GFS today.
I think a compromise will still work well for most of us in here.
Checking in over lunch & good to see the Euro make a large shift south from 0z to 12z.
The “blue” made about a 75 mile shift south this run.
0z top
12z bottom
The 6z GEFS through day 16 continues the juicing up. The 6 inch line gets to northern Dauphin county & the 2 inch line gets way down to northern North Carolina.
Quite the signal…
The EPS & GEFS are both showing their 15 day snow maps with increasing amounts for PA & getting the 2 inch snow line down to near Richmond, VA.
I like seeing the ensembles juicing up as a signal of what the next 2 weeks are capable of producing.
Where do I sign for PDIII on this 6z GFS run. You weren’t joking around with this long duration storm that it shows. This pattern is capable of producing events like this. Hopefully it holds & gets some company as the other Ops get in range.
We are on the same page. I was just looking at the 18z EPS & the snow map did indeed increase a bit.
The mean low did tick south east a bit & was slightly stronger at 18z.
18z top
12z bottom
I agree with them that this is not over.
“Significant changes in the forecast are possible (if not likely)
in the coming days and interests should check back on the forecast frequently.”