Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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The 0z Canadian tonight also continues to adjust south. Check out the difference between 0z tonight & 0z last night. Top-0z last night with a low near Erie Bottom-0z tonight with a low in NC
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Yes indeed! The Initial low dies in southern WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa while rapidly strengthening into the 980s. Then it exits northeast.
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18z EPS slight shift south over 12z. 18z EPS also upped snow amounts for the LSV this run. 12z top 18z bottom
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Hopefully it’s the beginning of convergence.
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I can’t wait for his snow map for us on Monday…
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PD storm is alive on the 18z GFS.
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This 18z GEFS now looks similar to the 12z EPS for most of CTP. Here is EPS at 12z to compare.
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18z GEFS ticked north from its 12z run, but is still good for all of CTP.
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Hopefully 0z tonight or 12z tomorrow brings some convergence between the models. It was good to see the Euro & EPS step towards the GFS today. I think a compromise will still work well for most of us in here.
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I think all of us would sign now for this 18z GFS run.
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Lock it in please… if only…
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Nice shift south on the 12z EPS as well. 12z top 6z bottom
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A compromise might put us in the sweet spot…
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Canadian also made quite the shift south as well. 0z was near Erie & 12z is in the DelMarVa at the same time stamp. 0z top 12z bottom
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Checking in over lunch & good to see the Euro make a large shift south from 0z to 12z. The “blue” made about a 75 mile shift south this run. 0z top 12z bottom
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The 6z GEFS through day 16 continues the juicing up. The 6 inch line gets to northern Dauphin county & the 2 inch line gets way down to northern North Carolina. Quite the signal…
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SOI continues to tank yet again with a -32 for the daily contribution.
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- weenie fest or weenie roast?
- weenies got roasted
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The EPS & GEFS are both showing their 15 day snow maps with increasing amounts for PA & getting the 2 inch snow line down to near Richmond, VA. I like seeing the ensembles juicing up as a signal of what the next 2 weeks are capable of producing.
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0z EPS did move the snow line further south for early next week.
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Here’s the snow map for the PD storm 3 day period so you don’t need to do @mitchnick ‘s math.
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Where do I sign for PDIII on this 6z GFS run. You weren’t joking around with this long duration storm that it shows. This pattern is capable of producing events like this. Hopefully it holds & gets some company as the other Ops get in range.
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Let’s hope the GFS gets some company at 12z.
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2 runs in a row the GFS has put us back in the game for early next week.
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We are on the same page. I was just looking at the 18z EPS & the snow map did indeed increase a bit. The mean low did tick south east a bit & was slightly stronger at 18z. 18z top 12z bottom
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I agree with them that this is not over. “Significant changes in the forecast are possible (if not likely) in the coming days and interests should check back on the forecast frequently.”
