Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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I forgot the storm already freaking happened!!!! No one has won or lost yet!!!
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According to the 0z Canadian, all of CTP & even DuBois gets virtually shutout. Congrats to the Lehigh Valley & NJ this run. Far from a consensus.
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Not always, just look at last month when DC won twice with last minute south trends.
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Yes, it’s over because of 1 GFS run…. Great call, lol…. See you at 6z ….
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Yes, Warning snow for even the LSV. Great low position off of OCMD on the 0z NAM.
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18z EPS was basically a hold from its 12z run. It still has Advisory snow for the LSV with more to the north.
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My bad, was posting from the road…. Here is the 21z run through Tuesday evening
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FWIW, the SREF is on board
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lol, the restaurant in Lancaster. I’m getting 3 plates of food!
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Lol, I did kind of angle it that way…. We are on the way to Shady Maple to celebrate the kids good report cards.
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58 on the car thermometer (Mrs. Blizz is driving) as we drive by the Manheim exit on 283.
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Here is CTP’s latest “Event Total Snow” map which even has Advisory amounts for the southern tier & Warning amounts further north.
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CTP is so confident that they issued Watches for most of their region north of the southern tier counties.
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It’s not over for most of us in here. Again, we all don’t live on the MD line…
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Yes, it shows how the LSV can win. Initial low transfers when it hits central WV & then secondaries off of the DelMarVa & then deepens northeast.
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Wow, I was not expecting this at this range….especially with the model variance at 12z
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12z EPS for early week trended north this run after a few good runs in a row. Still lots of workable low tracks on the ensemble members. It still has Advisory level snow for the LSV this run.
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Here are the 12z GFS, Canadian & NAM as of 12z Tuesday at the same time stamp. The location & strength of that coastal low will determine southern PA’s fate. Still lots of variance with 3 days to go.
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Small differences the the LSV couldn’t afford this run took away much of our snow. The initial low almost gets to the PA border this run & then the coastal hugs the coast near Atlantic City, NJ this run instead off developing off of OCMD last run.
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It’s not over yet just because of 1 Euro Op run…. If this look holds until 12z Monday, then it’s over.
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Unfortunately no, WB just has very limited Ukie maps-no snow maps. I rely on others for the Ukie.
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12z GEFS gets Warning snow to most of CTP including 7 to Harrisburg this run.
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Canadian also has PD weekend coastal storm chance just further south & weaker at this range.
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Op run snow alert on the GFS for the PD weekend & just beyond. Lots of tracking in our future…
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Agreed, we need something more like the GFS to bring the rates once we flip to have the chance of accumulation.
